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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Anderlecht
U S U U S
3–2
Full-time
Waregem
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,7
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 14/17 matches
Win Ø 37%
50%
24%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
64%
76%
Both score Ø 77%
71%
82%
Average goals
3,4
3,9
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,1
2,4
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 0
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 4. · Waregem 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 15 12 1 2 +27 37
2 Club Brugge 15 9 4 2 +9 31
3 Antwerp 15 9 2 4 +10 29
4 Anderlecht 14 7 6 1 +16 27
5 Kortrijk 18 6 7 5 +1 25
6 Genk 15 7 3 5 +10 24
7 Charleroi 14 6 5 3 +7 23
8 Mechelen 15 7 2 6 -1 23
9 Standard 17 6 5 6 -7 23
10 Oostende 18 7 2 9 -14 23
11 Gent 15 6 4 5 +6 22
12 Eupen 18 6 4 8 +0 22
13 St Truiden 18 6 3 9 -9 21
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 18 4 8 6 -7 20
15 Seraing 17 6 1 10 -8 19
16 Seraing United 17 6 1 10 -8 19
17 Waregem 17 4 5 8 -14 17
18 Cercle Brugge 18 4 4 10 -5 16
19 Beerschot VA 18 3 3 12 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Waregem
Christian Kouamé ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
10′
11′
🟨 Idrissa Doumbia
Michael Murillo 🟨
17′
25′
Z. Gano 0–1
1–1 J. Zirkzee
27′
Christian Kouamé 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–1
56′
🟨 Frank Boya
2–1 L. Refaelov
M. Murillo
61′
3–1 L. Refaelov
J. Zirkzee
73′
74′
🔁 L. Vigen
↦ I. Doumbia
74′
🔁 J. Vossen
↦ A. Fadera
M. Ashimeru 🔁
↦ J. Zirkzee
75′
81′
J. Vossen 3–2
J. Dompé
86′
🔁 A. Ciranni
↦ C. Humphreys-Grant
T. Harwood-Bellis 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
89′
M. Kana 🔁
↦ K. Olsson
89′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-4-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
2 L. Magallán D
4 W. Hoedt D
62 M. Murillo D
17 Sergio Gómez D
11 L. Refaelov M
20 K. Olsson M
8 J. Cullen M
51 Y. Verschaeren M
99 C. Kouamé F
23 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (7)
18 M. Ashimeru
6 T. Harwood-Bellis
55 M. Kana
26 C. Coosemans
52 M. Stroeykens
46 A. Ait El Hadj
14 B. Mykhaylichenko

Coach: V. Kompany

Waregem

3-4-3
1 S. Bossut G
27 L. De Bock D
33 C. Humphreys-Grant M
24 E. Pletinckx D
21 I. Seck M
19 D. Kutesa F
15 F. Boya D
98 I. Doumbia M
93 Z. Gano F
17 J. Dompé M
23 A. Fadera F
Bench (7)
8 L. Vigen
9 J. Vossen
14 A. Ciranni
67 L. Willen
25 L. Bostyn
11 B. Srarfi
6 D. Hubert

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
6,36
B
11,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,74
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.