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Pro League

Referee: C Dierick

St. Gilloise

S S T S U

2–1

Full-time

Waregem

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 47%

60%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

60%

83%

Both score Ø 54%

40%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 5/7 matches

Win Ø 45%

60%

29%

Points per game

2,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

60%

71%

Both score Ø 56%

40%

71%

Average goals

3,0

3,6

Scored

2,2

1,6

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

20 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 4

4 Offside 4

19 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St. Gilloise 8. · Waregem 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	8	5	1	2	-2	16
2	Oostende	9	5	0	4	-3	15
3	Eupen	9	4	2	3	+4	14
4	Anderlecht	6	4	1	1	+11	13
5	Kortrijk	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	Genk	6	3	2	1	+5	11
7	Club Brugge	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	St. Gilloise	5	3	1	1	+7	10
9	Charleroi	6	2	4	0	+6	10
10	St Truiden	7	3	1	3	-2	10
11	Seraing	7	3	0	4	-4	9
12	Seraing United	7	3	0	4	-4	9
13	Antwerp	6	2	2	2	+2	8
14	Cercle Brugge	9	2	2	5	-2	8
15	Waregem	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Mechelen	7	2	1	4	-6	7
17	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	4	2	-6	7
18	Gent	4	1	1	2	+3	4
19	Beerschot VA	8	0	1	7	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Club Brugge	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Genk	4	2	1	1	+4	7
4	Kortrijk	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Mechelen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Seraing	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Seraing United	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Oostende	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Charleroi	3	1	2	0	+3	5
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Gent	2	1	1	0	+5	4
13	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Standard	3	1	1	1	-2	4
15	St Truiden	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Antwerp	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Cercle Brugge	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Waregem	4	0	1	3	-7	1
19	Beerschot VA	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	5	4	0	1	+0	12
2	Eupen	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Oostende	5	3	0	2	-1	9
4	Waregem	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Antwerp	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Cercle Brugge	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	St Truiden	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Kortrijk	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Charleroi	3	1	2	0	+3	5
10	St. Gilloise	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Genk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Anderlecht	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Seraing	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Seraing United	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	2	1	-4	2
17	Beerschot VA	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Mechelen	4	0	1	3	-7	1
19	Gent	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.