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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
St. Gilloise
S S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Charleroi
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,8
Scored
3,0
2,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 64%
82%
45%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
73%
64%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
3,6
3,1
Scored
2,6
2,1
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 1. · Charleroi 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 11 9 1 1 +18 28
2 Anderlecht 12 6 5 1 +14 23
3 Genk 12 7 2 3 +13 23
4 Antwerp 12 7 2 3 +7 23
5 Kortrijk 15 6 5 4 +3 23
6 Club Brugge 10 6 3 1 +7 21
7 Eupen 15 6 3 6 +2 21
8 Charleroi 11 5 5 1 +12 20
9 Mechelen 13 6 2 5 +0 20
10 Oostende 15 6 2 7 -6 20
11 Standard 14 5 4 5 -6 19
12 St Truiden 14 5 3 6 -5 18
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14 3 8 3 -4 17
14 Waregem 15 3 5 7 -15 14
15 Seraing 13 4 0 9 -11 12
16 Seraing United 13 4 0 9 -11 12
17 Gent 10 3 2 5 +2 11
18 Cercle Brugge 14 2 3 9 -8 9
19 Beerschot VA 15 2 3 10 -12 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Charleroi
1–0 D. Undav
D. Vanzeir
29′
2–0 B. Nieuwkoop
C. Nielsen
34′
Christian Burgess ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
39′
3–0 D. Undav
39′
Half-time 3–0
53′
🟨 Karim Zedadka
57′
🔁 J. Tchatchoua
↦ K. Zedadka
65′
🔁 A. Zorgane
↦ A. Zaroury
65′
🔁 A. Descotte
↦ M. Wasinski
L. Lapoussin 🔁
↦ C. Nielsen
68′
3–1 J. Kayembe
own goal
78′
G. François 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
79′
M. Sorinola 🔁
↦ K. Mitoma
86′
J. Bager 🔁
↦ I. Kandouss
86′
L. Amani 🔁
↦ D. Undav
86′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
21 L. Pirard G
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
59 I. Kandouss D
25 D. Marcq M
17 T. Teuma M
6 C. Nielsen M
9 D. Undav F
13 D. Vanzeir F
18 K. Mitoma M
Bench (7)
94 L. Lapoussin
19 G. François
7 M. Sorinola
4 J. Bager
8 L. Amani
33 T. Herbots
90 F. Avenatti

Coach: F. Mazzù

Charleroi

3-4-3
16 H. Koffi G
12 J. Kayembe M
3 S. Knežević D
21 S. Andreou D
31 M. Wasinski D
44 R. Morioka M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
8 A. Gholizadeh F
7 K. Zedadka M
10 S. Nicholson F
70 A. Zaroury F
Bench (7)
38 J. Tchatchoua
6 A. Zorgane
15 A. Descotte
5 L. Bessile
27 M. Fall
40 M. Chiacig
30 G. Gillet

Coach: E. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,96
B
4,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.