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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
St Truiden
T T U T S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Seraing United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
This season — Pro League · 31/29 matches
Win Ø 26%
35%
17%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
42%
55%
Both score Ø 49%
45%
52%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 9. · Seraing United 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 26 20 5 1 +45 65
2 Antwerp 25 18 4 3 +33 58
3 St. Gilloise 24 18 3 3 +25 57
4 Gent 24 14 3 7 +21 45
5 Club Brugge 25 13 6 6 +16 45
6 Anderlecht 30 13 6 11 +12 45
7 Charleroi 30 13 5 12 +1 44
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 31 11 9 11 +7 42
9 St Truiden 31 11 9 11 -3 42
10 Cercle Brugge 26 10 10 6 +6 40
11 Westerlo 24 10 6 8 +6 36
12 Mechelen 30 10 6 14 -12 36
13 Kortrijk 32 10 6 16 -17 36
14 Standard 24 10 4 10 -1 34
15 Eupen 31 8 6 17 -21 30
16 Waregem 31 6 9 16 -26 27
17 Oostende 31 6 7 18 -29 25
18 Seraing United 29 5 4 20 -31 19
19 Seraing 30 5 4 21 -32 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Seraing United
1–0 G. Bruno
24′
W. Janssens 🔁
↦ R. Bauer
39′
Half-time 1–0
Frank Boya 🟨
56′
Mory Konate 🟨
58′
R. Reitz 🔁
↦ F. Boya
64′
66′
🔁 G. Kilota
↦ V. Guillaume
72′
🟨 Marvin Tshibuabua
75′
🔁 S. Mvoué
↦ M. Cachbach
78′
🟨 Vagner Dias
2–0 G. Bruno
D. Hayashi
83′
T. Hara 🔁
↦ D. Hayashi
84′
88′
🔁 D. Bunchukov
↦ S. Sissoko
88′
M. Mouandilmadji 2–1
D. Bunchukov
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 D. Schmidt G
4 D. Hashioka D
16 M. Smets D
26 Jorge Teixeira D
20 R. Bauer D
77 E. Bocat D
30 S. Okazaki M
6 M. Konaté M
27 F. Boya M
8 D. Hayashi F
91 G. Bruno F
Bench (7)
22 W. Janssens
13 R. Reitz
9 T. Hara
7 A. Koita
12 J. Coppens
19 S. Van Dessel
11 F. Kaya

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Seraing United

3-4-2-1
30 G. Dietsch G
4 M. Tshibuabua D
23 C. Lepoint D
99 M. Mbow D
21 M. Sambu M
27 S. Sissoko M
6 M. Cachbach M
18 M. Poaty M
7 Vagner F
14 V. Guillaume F
10 M. Mouandilmadji F
Bench (7)
8 G. Kilota
5 S. Mvoué
28 D. Bunchukov
40 D. Opare
16 T. Martin
2 A. Sylla
15 S. Lahssaini

Coach: J. Legros

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.