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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Kortrijk
T S T U T
2–4
Full-time
St. Gilloise
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 35/29 matches
Win Ø 53%
29%
76%
Points per game
1,1
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
54%
72%
Both score Ø 63%
54%
72%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 3
5 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 14. · St. Gilloise 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 29 22 5 2 +47 71
2 Antwerp 30 22 4 4 +37 70
3 St. Gilloise 29 22 4 3 +29 70
4 Gent 29 17 5 7 +34 56
5 Club Brugge 29 16 7 6 +23 55
6 Charleroi 34 16 5 13 +2 53
7 Anderlecht 34 15 7 12 +12 52
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 13 9 13 +11 48
9 St Truiden 36 13 9 14 -1 48
10 Cercle Brugge 29 12 10 7 +9 46
11 Standard 28 13 5 10 +5 44
12 Westerlo 30 11 10 9 +6 43
13 Mechelen 34 10 7 17 -19 37
14 Kortrijk 35 10 7 18 -20 37
15 Waregem 35 7 10 18 -25 31
16 Eupen 35 8 7 20 -29 31
17 Oostende 35 6 7 22 -41 25
18 Seraing 34 5 5 24 -40 20
19 Seraing United 34 5 5 24 -40 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk St. Gilloise
16′
C. Terho 0–1
V. Boniface
1–1 João Silva
F. Selemani
24′
33′
🟨 Senne Lynen
2–1 K. D'Haene
38′
Kristof D'Haene 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 Teddy Teuma
Half-time 2–1
62′
🔁 Cameron Puertas
↦ L. Amani
62′
🔁 G. François
↦ I. Kandouss
62′
🔁 O. El Azzouzi
↦ S. Lynen
62′
🔁 G. Nilsson
↦ V. Boniface
67′
T. Watanabe 3–1
own goal
72′
C. Terho 3–2
S. Adingra
73′
🟨 Cameron Puertas
M. Bruno 🔁
↦ N. Mehssatou
73′
D. Henen 🔁
↦ O. Sych
73′
B. Messaoudi 🔁
↦ S. Lončar
84′
84′
S. Adingra 3–3
M. Regáli 🔁
↦ K. DHaene
89′
C. Atemona 🔁
↦ João Silva
89′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Kortrijk

3-4-3
1 T. Vandenberghe G
44 João Silva D
4 T. Watanabe D
21 M. Wasinski D
6 O. Sych M
33 S. Lončar M
25 N. Mehssatou M
30 K. D'Haene M
18 A. Kadri F
20 F. Avenatti F
10 F. Selemani F
Bench (7)
70 M. Bruno
77 D. Henen
9 B. Messaoudi
29 M. Regáli
5 C. Atemona
16 M. Deman
23 D. De Neve

Coach: B. Storck

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
17 C. Terho M
8 L. Amani M
20 S. Lynen M
10 T. Teuma M
94 L. Lapoussin M
11 S. Adingra F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (7)
23 Cameron Puertas
19 G. François
6 O. El Azzouzi
29 G. Nilsson
28 K. Machida
14 J. Imbrechts
9 D. Eckert Ayensa

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,40
U
4,38
B ✓
1,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,32
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.