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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
3–0
Full-time
Kortrijk
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
2,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,4
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,4
3,5
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,4
2,8
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,28 xG 1,18
47% Possession 53%
20 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13. · Kortrijk 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 4 3 1 0 +12 +7.8 10
2 Cercle Brugge 3 3 0 0 +5 +4.8 9
3 Anderlecht 3 3 0 0 +3 -0.1 9
4 Eupen 4 2 1 1 -2 -5.5 7
5 St. Gilloise 3 2 0 1 +1 +2.2 6
6 RWD Molenbeek 4 2 0 2 -8 -3.8 6
7 Antwerp 2 1 1 0 +6 -0.0 4
8 Mechelen 3 1 1 1 +3 -1.0 4
9 Genk 3 1 1 1 +3 +5.9 4
10 St Truiden 3 1 0 2 -2 -2.0 3
11 Charleroi 5 0 3 2 -3 -2.7 3
12 Standard 4 0 2 2 -2 -5.1 2
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 0 2 3 -7 +0.8 2
14 Westerlo 3 0 1 2 -2 -1.9 1
15 Kortrijk 4 0 1 3 -8 +0.5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Kortrijk
19′
🟨 Kristiyan Malinov
25′
🟨 Nayel Mehssatou
1–0 F. Ricca
Y. Maziz
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 F. Avenatti
↦ M. Bruno
2–0 J. Schingtienne
S. Kiyine
54′
57′
🔁 M. Kana
↦ A. Sissako
57′
🔁 D. Mbayo
↦ I. Davies
58′
🟨 Dion De Neve
3–0 Y. Maziz
H. Mendyl
60′
J. Þorsteinsson 🔁
↦ Y. Maziz
63′
64′
🔁 L. Audoor
↦ N. Mehssatou
Sofian Kiyine 🟨
69′
K. N’Dri 🔁
↦ J. Braut Brunes
80′
K. Misao 🔁
↦ H. Mendyl
80′
E. Banzuzi 🔁
↦ S. Schrijvers
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-3
16 M. Prévot G
23 J. Schingtienne D
28 E. Pletinckx D
14 F. Ricca D
52 R. Sagrado M
6 J. Dom M
8 S. Schrijvers M
20 H. Mendyl M
88 Y. Maziz F
9 J. Braut Brunes F
13 S. Kiyine F
Bench (7)
7 J. Þorsteinsson
15 K. N’Dri
17 K. Misao
11 E. Banzuzi
1 T. Leysen
43 N. Nsingi
33 M. Maertens

Coach: M. Brys

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
1 T. Vandenberghe G
6 N. Mehssatou D
44 João Silva D
21 M. Wasinski D
11 D. De Neve D
15 K. Malinov M
27 A. Sissako M
54 S. Ojo M
10 A. Kadri M
70 M. Bruno M
39 I. Davies F
Bench (7)
20 F. Avenatti
16 M. Kana
7 D. Mbayo
89 L. Audoor
98 R. Opruț
66 A. Radovanović
95 L. Pirard

Coach: E. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,61
U
4,45
B
4,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,39
U2,5
2,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.