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Referee: J Vergoote

Standard

T T T T U

0–1

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

0,7

2,5

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+1,0

This season — Pro League · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,0

Scored

0,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,61 xG 1,19

60% Possession 40%

7 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 2

4 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Standard 14. · Cercle Brugge 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+6	+5.5	7
2	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.5	6
3	RWD Molenbeek	3	2	0	1	-2	-1.5	6
4	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+6	-0.0	4
5	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-4	-4.7	4
6	Genk	2	1	0	1	+3	+4.1	3
7	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
8	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
9	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
10	St Truiden	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.7	3
11	Charleroi	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.7	2
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-5	+0.0	2
13	Westerlo	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
14	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.5	1
15	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
16	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-8	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+6	–	3
2	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
3	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
4	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	RWD Molenbeek	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.6	3
6	Charleroi	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
7	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
9	Eupen	2	0	1	1	-5	-3.2	1
10	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
11	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Standard	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
13	St Truiden	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
14	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.2	6
2	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
3	RWD Molenbeek	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
4	Eupen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
5	St Truiden	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
8	Westerlo	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
9	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
10	Antwerp	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
11	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	1	1	-4	+1.1	1
13	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0
14	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-7	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.