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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

Gent

S S S S S

1–2

Full-time

Dender

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

0,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

0,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,14 xG 1,14

66% Possession 34%

15 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 6. · Dender 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.7	4
2	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.7	4
3	Standard	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.0	4
4	Westerlo	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
5	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.6	3
6	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
8	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
9	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
10	Dender	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
11	Club Brugge	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.6	1
12	Genk	2	0	1	1	-2	+2.8	1
13	Beerschot VA	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.7	1
14	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
15	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0
16	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Westerlo	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.4	3
2	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.1	3
3	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
4	Standard	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
5	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
6	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
7	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
8	Beerschot VA	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
9	Dender	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
10	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
11	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
12	St Truiden	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.7	3
2	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
3	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
4	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
5	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
7	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
8	Club Brugge	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
9	St Truiden	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
10	Genk	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.1	0
11	Beerschot VA	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
12	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.