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Pro League

Referee: N Laforge

Genk

T T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Gent

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Gent

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

0,5

2,5

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 50%

45%

55%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

52%

Both score Ø 54%

48%

59%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,6

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,53 xG 0,73

47% Possession 53%

10 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

20 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 7. · Gent 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	30	20	5	5	+32	+29.6	65
2	Club Brugge	30	19	7	4	+47	+38.9	64
3	Anderlecht	30	17	7	6	+22	+12.8	58
4	Cercle Brugge	30	17	6	7	+22	+6.8	57
5	Gent	29	16	7	6	+29	+20.1	55
6	Mechelen	30	14	6	10	+7	+4.3	48
7	Genk	29	13	8	8	+11	+23.5	47
8	Antwerp	30	12	7	11	+17	+15.8	43
9	Charleroi	30	9	8	13	-15	-10.5	35
10	St Truiden	30	8	10	12	-17	-13.2	34
11	Westerlo	30	7	9	14	-9	-13.5	30
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	7	9	14	-14	-9.0	30
13	Kortrijk	32	8	5	19	-34	-24.9	29
14	Standard	30	5	12	13	-20	-14.8	27
15	RWD Molenbeek	30	6	7	17	-36	-32.4	25
16	Eupen	30	5	3	22	-39	-33.3	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	15	12	1	2	+18	+9.4	37
2	Club Brugge	15	10	5	0	+30	+22.6	35
3	St. Gilloise	15	10	3	2	+19	+16.8	33
4	Gent	15	9	4	2	+19	+13.0	31
5	Cercle Brugge	15	9	3	3	+18	+7.0	30
6	Genk	14	8	4	2	+12	+17.3	28
7	Mechelen	15	8	4	3	+11	+8.3	28
8	Antwerp	15	7	3	5	+17	+13.5	24
9	St Truiden	15	6	5	4	-2	+0.1	23
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	6	3	6	+4	-1.5	21
11	Charleroi	15	5	5	5	-3	+2.5	20
12	Standard	15	4	5	6	-5	+0.4	17
13	Westerlo	15	4	4	7	-6	-5.3	16
14	RWD Molenbeek	15	4	4	7	-13	-13.5	16
15	Kortrijk	16	4	3	9	-11	-7.4	15
16	Eupen	15	4	2	9	-12	-12.6	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	15	10	2	3	+13	+12.8	32
2	Club Brugge	15	9	2	4	+17	+16.3	29
3	Cercle Brugge	15	8	3	4	+4	-0.2	27
4	Gent	14	7	3	4	+10	+7.1	24
5	Anderlecht	15	5	6	4	+4	+3.3	21
6	Mechelen	15	6	2	7	-4	-4.0	20
7	Antwerp	15	5	4	6	+0	+2.3	19
8	Genk	15	5	4	6	-1	+6.2	19
9	Charleroi	15	4	3	8	-12	-13.0	15
10	Westerlo	15	3	5	7	-3	-8.2	14
11	Kortrijk	16	4	2	10	-23	-17.6	14
12	St Truiden	15	2	5	8	-15	-13.3	11
13	Standard	15	1	7	7	-15	-15.2	10
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	1	6	8	-18	-7.6	9
15	RWD Molenbeek	15	2	3	10	-23	-18.9	9
16	Eupen	15	1	1	13	-27	-20.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.