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Bundesliga
Referee: C Jäeger
SK Rapid
S S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Apr -24 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 1–3 19. Apr -24 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 1–0 18. Feb -24 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 1–1 24. Sep -23 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 1–1 28. May -23 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 3–2

Match report

SK Rapid Sturm Graz
Dion Drena Beljo 🟨
17′
1–0 D. Beljo ⚽
G. Burgstaller
29′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Karić
↦ S. Hierländer
51′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
53′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stanković
F. Dursun 🔁
↦ D. Beljo
61′
61′
🔁 N. Geyrhofer
↦ J. Gorenc Stankovič
61′
🔁 A. Camara
↦ T. Horvat
Mamadou Sangare 🟨
66′
70′
🔁 O. Kiteishvili
↦ E. Aiwu
74′
🔁 M. Sarkaria
↦ L. Zvonarek
M. Hofmann 🔁
↦ N. Cvetković
77′
L. Schaub 🔁
↦ M. Seidl
77′
82′
🟨 Jusuf Gazibegović
M. Oswald 🔁
↦ I. Jansson
92′
Guido Burgstaller 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-2-2
45 N. Hedl G
77 B. Bolla D
55 N. Cvetković D
6 S. Raux-Yao D
23 J. Auer D
8 L. Grgić M
17 M. Sangaré M
18 M. Seidl M
22 I. Jansson M
9 G. Burgstaller F
7 D. Beljo F
Bench (7)
66 F. Dursun
20 M. Hofmann
21 L. Schaub
28 M. Oswald
25 P. Gartler
10 C. Lang
3 B. Böckle

Coach: R. Klauß

Sturm Graz

4-2-3-1
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
47 E. Aiwu D
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 D. Lavalée D
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
19 T. Horvat M
25 S. Hierländer M
14 L. Zvonarek M
15 W. Bøving M
18 M. Biereth F
Bench (7)
17 E. Karić
35 N. Geyrhofer
36 A. Camara
10 O. Kiteishvili
11 M. Sarkaria
21 T. Chukwuani
53 D. Khudyakov

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Jäeger · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.