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Eliteserien

Referee: D Higraff

Kristiansund

S U S T U

2–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 33%

25%

40%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 61%

69%

53%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,88 xG 1,54

36% Possession 64%

9 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kristiansund 9. · Lillestrom 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	18	12	4	2	+25	+14.7	40
2	Viking	16	9	4	3	+10	+4.9	31
3	Brann	17	8	6	3	+5	+10.9	30
4	Molde	17	8	4	5	+12	+11.0	28
5	Fredrikstad	16	7	6	3	+8	+1.2	27
6	KFUM Oslo	16	5	7	4	+0	+5.1	22
7	Lillestrom	15	6	2	7	-6	-3.7	20
8	Stromsgodset	16	5	4	7	-6	-1.9	19
9	Kristiansund	16	4	6	6	-3	-7.3	18
10	Tromso	17	5	3	9	-6	-8.1	18
11	Rosenborg	15	5	3	7	-7	-2.5	18
12	Sarpsborg 08	16	5	3	8	-8	-6.5	18
13	Ham-Kam	16	4	5	7	+0	-1.5	17
14	Haugesund	16	5	2	9	-8	-6.0	17
15	Odd	17	4	5	8	-12	-9.5	17
16	Sandefjord	16	4	4	8	-4	-0.7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	3	0	+14	+7.0	21
2	Viking	9	6	2	1	+7	+2.3	20
3	Brann	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.9	17
4	Molde	9	4	2	3	+6	+8.9	14
5	Rosenborg	7	4	1	2	+1	+1.5	13
6	Kristiansund	7	3	3	1	+3	+3.3	12
7	Sandefjord	8	4	0	4	+1	-0.2	12
8	Fredrikstad	7	2	4	1	+2	+1.9	10
9	Tromso	10	3	1	6	-2	-0.6	10
10	Stromsgodset	7	2	3	2	+1	+1.7	9
11	Haugesund	8	3	0	5	-4	-1.3	9
12	Odd	9	2	3	4	-5	-1.8	9
13	Lillestrom	8	2	2	4	-8	-3.6	8
14	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	1	5	-8	-1.3	7
15	Ham-Kam	7	1	2	4	-3	-1.8	5
16	KFUM Oslo	8	0	5	3	-6	+5.5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	1	2	+11	+7.6	19
2	Fredrikstad	9	5	2	2	+6	-0.7	17
3	KFUM Oslo	8	5	2	1	+6	-0.4	17
4	Molde	8	4	2	2	+6	+2.0	14
5	Brann	8	3	4	1	+1	+1.0	13
6	Ham-Kam	9	3	3	3	+3	+0.3	12
7	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+2	-0.1	12
8	Viking	7	3	2	2	+3	+2.6	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	8	3	2	3	+0	-5.1	11
10	Stromsgodset	9	3	1	5	-7	-3.6	10
11	Haugesund	8	2	2	4	-4	-4.7	8
12	Tromso	7	2	2	3	-4	-7.5	8
13	Odd	8	2	2	4	-7	-7.7	8
14	Kristiansund	9	1	3	5	-6	-10.6	6
15	Rosenborg	8	1	2	5	-8	-4.0	5
16	Sandefjord	8	0	4	4	-5	-0.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.