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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Standard

T S T T U

2–2

Full-time

Mechelen

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 30%

35%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 43%

25%

60%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,6

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,63 xG 1,74

32% Possession 68%

10 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Standard 7. · Mechelen 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	20	15	3	2	+18	+18.4	48
2	Club Brugge	20	13	5	2	+26	+23.2	44
3	Anderlecht	20	12	5	3	+25	+8.8	41
4	St. Gilloise	20	11	6	3	+18	+20.4	39
5	Antwerp	19	10	8	1	+21	+1.5	38
6	Gent	20	8	8	4	+14	+0.7	32
7	Standard	20	7	5	8	-12	-7.2	26
8	Cercle Brugge	24	6	8	10	-16	-5.0	26
9	Charleroi	20	6	7	7	-1	+2.6	25
10	Dender	20	6	7	7	-5	-9.1	25
11	Westerlo	20	6	4	10	-2	-0.4	22
12	St Truiden	25	5	7	13	-21	-9.4	22
13	Mechelen	20	5	5	10	-5	-2.7	20
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	21	3	10	8	-7	-4.7	19
15	Kortrijk	24	5	2	17	-27	-14.4	17
16	Beerschot VA	25	2	8	15	-26	-22.9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	10	9	1	0	+15	+13.3	28
2	St. Gilloise	10	8	0	2	+13	+16.9	24
3	Club Brugge	10	7	2	1	+18	+16.3	23
4	Anderlecht	10	6	3	1	+14	+4.2	21
5	Antwerp	9	6	2	1	+16	+5.3	20
6	Gent	10	6	2	2	+14	+3.7	20
7	Standard	10	5	2	3	+1	-1.5	17
8	Cercle Brugge	12	4	5	3	-3	+2.0	17
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	7	1	+4	+2.9	16
10	Charleroi	10	4	3	3	+3	+4.0	15
11	St Truiden	12	3	6	3	-2	-1.0	15
12	Westerlo	10	4	2	4	+6	+10.2	14
13	Mechelen	10	3	4	3	+4	+1.1	13
14	Beerschot VA	13	2	6	5	-6	-10.5	12
15	Kortrijk	12	4	0	8	-7	-2.3	12
16	Dender	10	2	4	4	-1	-2.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	6	3	1	+8	+7.0	21
2	Anderlecht	10	6	2	2	+11	+4.7	20
3	Genk	10	6	2	2	+3	+5.1	20
4	Antwerp	10	4	6	0	+5	-3.8	18
5	St. Gilloise	10	3	6	1	+5	+3.6	15
6	Dender	10	4	3	3	-4	-6.2	15
7	Gent	10	2	6	2	+0	-3.1	12
8	Charleroi	10	2	4	4	-4	-1.4	10
9	Cercle Brugge	12	2	3	7	-13	-6.9	9
10	Standard	10	2	3	5	-13	-5.7	9
11	Westerlo	10	2	2	6	-8	-10.6	8
12	Mechelen	10	2	1	7	-9	-3.8	7
13	St Truiden	13	2	1	10	-19	-8.4	7
14	Kortrijk	12	1	2	9	-20	-12.1	5
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	0	3	7	-11	-7.6	3
16	Beerschot VA	12	0	2	10	-20	-12.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.