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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Burda
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 44%
46%
42%
Points per game
1,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
69%
58%
Both score Ø 60%
58%
62%
Average goals
3,3
3,1
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 6. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 27 15 5 7 +10 50
2 Hamburg 27 13 10 4 +26 49
3 Paderborn 27 12 9 6 +11 45
4 Magdeburg 27 11 10 6 +12 43
5 Hannover 27 11 10 6 +8 43
6 Kaiserslautern 26 12 7 7 +6 43
7 Elversberg 27 11 8 8 +13 41
8 Nurnberg 26 12 5 9 +7 41
9 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 11 8 7 +5 41
10 Karlsruhe 27 10 7 10 -4 37
11 Schalke 04 26 9 6 11 -3 33
12 Greuther Furth 26 9 6 11 -11 33
13 Hertha 27 9 5 13 -3 32
14 Darmstadt 27 8 7 12 +1 31
15 Preußen Münster 26 6 8 12 -7 26
16 Ulm 27 4 11 12 -6 23
17 Braunschweig 26 5 8 13 -25 23
18 Regensburg 26 4 4 18 -40 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Fortuna Dusseldorf
1–0 M. Ritter
14′
16′
🟨 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
19′
🟨 Matthias Zimmermann
Maximilian Bauer ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
34′
35′
🟨 Tim Christopher Oberdorf
Marlon Ritter 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
60′
T. Oberdorf 1–1
J. Siebert
Daniel Hanslik 🟨
67′
73′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ V. Lunddal Friðriksson
2–1 R. Ache
F. Kleinhansl
73′
F. Kaloč 🔁
↦ M. Ritter
75′
78′
🔁 M. van Brederode
↦ D. Schmidt
J. Heuer 🔁
↦ R. Ache
79′
J. Gyamerah 🔁
↦ J. Zimmer
80′
84′
🟨 Jona Niemiec
84′
🔁 D. Bindemann
↦ A. Hoffmann
Leon Robinson 🔁
↦ D. Hanslik
89′
90′
🟨 Jamil Siebert
3–1 L. Sirch
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

3-4-2-1
25 S. Simoni G
33 J. Elvedi D
31 L. Sirch D
5 M. Bauer D
8 J. Zimmer M
16 T. Breithaupt M
7 M. Ritter M
3 F. Kleinhansl M
11 K. Redondo F
19 D. Hanslik F
9 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
26 F. Kaloč
24 J. Heuer
32 J. Gyamerah
37 Leon Robinson
30 A. Spahić
48 F. Alidou
41 D. Yokota
13 E. Wekesser
42 G. Ranos

Coach: M. Anfang

Fortuna Dusseldorf

3-4-2-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
15 T. Oberdorf D
3 A. Hoffmann D
20 J. Siebert D
5 M. Heyer M
8 Í. Jóhannesson M
25 M. Zimmermann M
12 V. Lunddal Friðriksson M
22 D. Schmidt F
23 S. Appelkamp F
24 D. Kownacki F
Bench (7)
18 J. Niemiec
10 M. van Brederode
41 D. Bindemann
44 J. Boller
42 L. Brodersen
26 F. Schock
37 D. Savić

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
U
3,60
B
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Burda · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.