← Match Finder
Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Monaco
U T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Nice
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Monaco Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 52%
54%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
65%
54%
Both score Ø 67%
65%
69%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
2,0
1,9
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,45 xG 0,51
57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Monaco 3. · Nice 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 27 22 5 0 +53 +46.8 71
2 Marseille 27 15 4 8 +18 +12.3 49
3 Monaco 26 14 5 7 +19 +31.0 47
4 Nice 26 13 8 5 +19 +17.3 47
5 Strasbourg 27 13 7 7 +10 -7.0 46
6 Lyon 27 13 6 8 +15 +8.0 45
7 Lille 26 12 8 6 +12 +7.7 44
8 Lens 26 11 6 9 +2 +4.8 39
9 Brest 26 11 4 11 -2 -6.6 37
10 Toulouse 26 9 7 10 +4 +9.8 34
11 Auxerre 26 8 8 10 -2 -10.9 32
12 Rennes 26 9 2 15 -2 +0.4 29
13 Nantes 26 6 9 11 -14 -10.9 27
14 Angers 26 7 6 13 -16 -14.3 27
15 Reims 27 6 8 13 -12 -16.5 26
16 St Etienne 27 6 5 16 -35 -33.0 23
17 Le Havre 26 6 3 17 -29 -18.7 21
18 Montpellier 26 4 3 19 -40 -20.2 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Nice
Mika Biereth
penalty missed
5′
Breel Embolo 🟨
27′
41′
J. Boga 0–1
J. Clauss
45′
🟨 Jonathan Clauss
Half-time 0–1
Christian Mawissa 🟨
51′
1–1 M. Biereth
M. Akliouche
55′
Breel Embolo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
65′
67′
🔁 G. Laborde
↦ M. Cho
67′
🔁 H. Boudaoui
↦ P. Rosario
72′
🟨 Baptiste Santamaria
2–1 B. Embolo
M. Akliouche
73′
F. Balogun 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
76′
76′
🔁 S. Diop
↦ M. Bombito
76′
🔁 T. Louchet
↦ A. Abdi
82′
🔁 T. Moffi
↦ B. Santamaría
K. Diatta 🔁
↦ T. Minamino
84′
A. Golovin 🔁
↦ B. Embolo
84′
87′
🟨 Hicham Boudaoui
87′
🟨 Gaëtan Laborde
Al Musrati 🔁
↦ L. Camara
89′
91′
🟥 Dante
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Monaco

4-4-2
16 P. Köhn G
17 W. Singo D
5 T. Kehrer D
13 C. Mawissa D
12 Caio Henrique D
11 M. Akliouche M
6 D. Zakaria M
15 L. Camara M
18 T. Minamino M
14 M. Biereth F
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (9)
9 F. Balogun
27 K. Diatta
10 A. Golovin
8 Al Musrati
21 G. Ilenikhena
1 R. Majecki
22 M. Salisu
7 E. Ben Seghir
2 Vanderson

Coach: A. Hütter

Nice

3-4-3
1 M. Bułka G
64 M. Bombito D
55 Y. Ndayishimiye D
4 Dante D
92 J. Clauss M
8 P. Rosario M
28 B. Santamaría M
2 A. Abdi M
29 E. Guessand F
25 M. Cho F
7 J. Boga F
Bench (9)
24 G. Laborde
6 H. Boudaoui
10 S. Diop
20 T. Louchet
9 T. Moffi
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem
31 M. Dupé
33 A. Mendy
11 M. Sanson

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,83
B
3,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,31
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.