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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Raczkowski

Lechia Gdansk

S T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Jagiellonia

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

52%

56%

Both score Ø 60%

64%

56%

Average goals

2,8

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,9

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,15 xG 1,11

44% Possession 56%

17 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 9

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 11

10 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 17. · Jagiellonia 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	25	15	7	3	+21	+10.6	52
2	Jagiellonia	25	15	6	4	+17	+2.6	51
3	Lech Poznan	25	16	2	7	+26	+10.0	50
4	Pogon Szczecin	26	13	5	8	+13	+10.6	44
5	Legia	26	11	8	7	+13	+9.9	41
6	Cracovia	26	11	8	7	+7	-4.2	41
7	Gornik Zabrze	25	12	4	9	+7	+3.9	40
8	Motor Lublin	25	10	6	9	-9	-1.0	36
9	GKS Katowice	25	9	6	10	+2	+2.7	33
10	Piast Gliwice	26	8	9	9	-2	-2.5	33
11	Korona Kielce	25	8	9	8	-7	-1.4	33
12	Widzew Lodz	26	9	6	11	-9	-5.2	33
13	Radomiak Radom	25	9	4	12	-5	+0.7	31
14	Puszcza	26	6	7	13	-13	-13.7	25
15	Stal Mielec	25	6	5	14	-12	+1.5	23
16	Zaglebie	25	6	5	14	-17	-7.3	23
17	Lechia Gdansk	25	5	6	14	-18	-15.3	21
18	Slask Wroclaw	25	3	9	13	-14	-2.0	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	13	11	0	2	+23	+8.3	33
2	Pogon Szczecin	13	10	1	2	+14	+11.9	31
3	Jagiellonia	13	9	3	1	+16	+4.3	30
4	Legia	13	8	3	2	+15	+8.6	27
5	Rakow	13	7	3	3	+9	+6.0	24
6	Gornik Zabrze	13	7	2	4	+8	+6.1	23
7	Widzew Lodz	13	6	2	5	-2	-1.2	20
8	Radomiak Radom	13	5	4	4	+5	+4.2	19
9	GKS Katowice	12	5	4	3	+5	-1.8	19
10	Motor Lublin	12	5	4	3	+1	+0.1	19
11	Cracovia	14	4	6	4	+2	-0.7	18
12	Stal Mielec	13	5	3	5	-1	+5.6	18
13	Korona Kielce	12	5	2	5	-1	+3.8	17
14	Puszcza	12	4	4	4	-1	-1.8	16
15	Piast Gliwice	13	3	6	4	-3	-0.4	15
16	Zaglebie	12	4	2	6	-4	-2.9	14
17	Slask Wroclaw	12	2	5	5	-3	-1.4	11
18	Lechia Gdansk	12	3	2	7	-9	-8.8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	12	8	4	0	+12	+4.7	28
2	Cracovia	12	7	2	3	+5	-3.5	23
3	Jagiellonia	12	6	3	3	+1	-1.8	21
4	Piast Gliwice	13	5	3	5	+1	-2.0	18
5	Lech Poznan	12	5	2	5	+3	+1.7	17
6	Gornik Zabrze	12	5	2	5	-1	-2.1	17
7	Motor Lublin	13	5	2	6	-10	-1.1	17
8	Korona Kielce	13	3	7	3	-6	-5.2	16
9	Legia	13	3	5	5	-2	+1.3	14
10	GKS Katowice	13	4	2	7	-3	+4.5	14
11	Pogon Szczecin	13	3	4	6	-1	-1.3	13
12	Widzew Lodz	13	3	4	6	-7	-4.0	13
13	Radomiak Radom	12	4	0	8	-10	-3.6	12
14	Lechia Gdansk	13	2	4	7	-9	-6.5	10
15	Puszcza	14	2	3	9	-12	-11.9	9
16	Zaglebie	13	2	3	8	-13	-4.4	9
17	Slask Wroclaw	13	1	4	8	-11	-0.7	7
18	Stal Mielec	12	1	2	9	-11	-4.1	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.