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Serie B

Referee: M Ferrieri Caputi

Mantova

U T T U T

2–0

Full-time

Sudtirol

S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Sudtirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 25%

20%

30%

Points per game

1,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 59%

60%

57%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

66% Possession 34%

15 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 7

2 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 31

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mantova 18. · Sudtirol 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	30	21	6	3	+35	69
2	Pisa	30	17	7	6	+19	58
3	Spezia	31	14	13	4	+22	55
4	Cremonese	30	13	9	8	+15	48
5	Catanzaro	30	10	16	4	+9	46
6	Juve Stabia	30	11	10	9	+0	43
7	Cesena	30	11	9	10	+2	42
8	Bari	30	8	16	6	+4	40
9	Palermo	30	10	9	11	+5	39
10	Modena	30	7	14	9	+0	35
11	Brescia	31	7	13	11	-6	34
12	Sudtirol	30	9	7	14	-8	34
13	Cittadella	30	9	7	14	-20	34
14	Carrarese	30	8	9	13	-10	33
15	Frosinone	30	7	12	11	-14	33
16	Reggiana	30	7	11	12	-6	32
17	Sampdoria	30	6	14	10	-7	32
18	Mantova	30	6	12	12	-12	30
19	Salernitana	30	7	9	14	-12	30
20	Cosenza	30	6	11	13	-16	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	15	12	2	1	+23	38
2	Pisa	15	11	3	1	+18	36
3	Spezia	15	9	4	2	+14	31
4	Catanzaro	16	7	7	2	+12	28
5	Cesena	15	7	6	2	+8	27
6	Juve Stabia	15	8	3	4	+5	27
7	Carrarese	15	7	4	4	+3	25
8	Bari	16	5	9	2	+4	24
9	Cremonese	15	6	5	4	+5	23
10	Modena	14	5	7	2	+6	22
11	Palermo	15	6	4	5	+4	22
12	Salernitana	15	6	4	5	+1	22
13	Mantova	14	5	5	4	-1	20
14	Frosinone	16	4	7	5	-6	19
15	Reggiana	15	4	6	5	-1	18
16	Sampdoria	15	4	6	5	-1	18
17	Cosenza	15	4	6	5	-4	18
18	Brescia	15	3	8	4	+0	17
19	Sudtirol	15	4	5	6	-5	17
20	Cittadella	15	2	6	7	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	15	9	4	2	+12	31
2	Cremonese	15	7	4	4	+10	25
3	Spezia	16	5	9	2	+8	24
4	Pisa	15	6	4	5	+1	22
5	Cittadella	15	7	1	7	-10	22
6	Catanzaro	14	3	9	2	-3	18
7	Palermo	15	4	5	6	+1	17
8	Sudtirol	15	5	2	8	-3	17
9	Brescia	16	4	5	7	-6	17
10	Bari	14	3	7	4	+0	16
11	Juve Stabia	15	3	7	5	-5	16
12	Cesena	15	4	3	8	-6	15
13	Reggiana	15	3	5	7	-5	14
14	Sampdoria	15	2	8	5	-6	14
15	Frosinone	14	3	5	6	-8	14
16	Modena	16	2	7	7	-6	13
17	Cosenza	15	2	5	8	-12	11
18	Mantova	16	1	7	8	-11	10
19	Carrarese	15	1	5	9	-13	8
20	Salernitana	15	1	5	9	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.