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Pro League

Referee: N Verboomen

Kortrijk

T S T T T

3–1

Full-time

Mechelen

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 12/10 matches

Win Ø 29%

17%

40%

Points per game

0,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,4

Conceded

2,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,67 xG 0,58

32% Possession 68%

12 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kortrijk 16. · Mechelen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antwerp	10	7	2	1	+17	+4.8	23
2	Genk	10	7	1	2	+9	+14.1	22
3	Club Brugge	10	6	3	1	+15	+9.2	21
4	Anderlecht	10	5	4	1	+14	+7.7	19
5	Gent	10	5	2	3	+11	-1.5	17
6	Mechelen	10	4	2	4	+3	-0.1	14
7	St. Gilloise	10	3	5	2	+3	+5.7	14
8	Charleroi	10	4	2	4	+1	+2.3	14
9	Dender	10	3	5	2	+0	-2.2	14
10	Standard	10	4	2	4	-8	-5.8	14
11	St Truiden	12	3	3	6	-14	-4.5	12
12	Westerlo	10	3	2	5	+0	+1.2	11
13	Cercle Brugge	12	3	2	7	-13	-9.4	11
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	1	6	3	-3	+2.2	9
15	Beerschot VA	12	1	4	7	-14	-12.6	7
16	Kortrijk	12	2	1	9	-21	-11.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	6	5	1	0	+10	+7.4	16
2	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+14	+5.5	13
3	Standard	5	4	1	0	+4	-0.6	13
4	Gent	5	4	0	1	+12	+3.3	12
5	Anderlecht	6	3	3	0	+8	+3.5	12
6	St Truiden	7	3	3	1	+1	+1.3	12
7	Westerlo	6	3	1	2	+6	+7.4	10
8	Mechelen	5	3	1	1	+6	+2.2	10
9	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
10	St. Gilloise	4	3	0	1	+4	+5.0	9
11	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+10	+6.4	7
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	4	1	+1	+2.3	7
13	Cercle Brugge	5	2	1	2	-3	-2.4	7
14	Beerschot VA	6	1	3	2	-1	-4.9	6
15	Kortrijk	5	2	0	3	-3	-1.4	6
16	Dender	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	4	2	1	+5	+2.8	14
2	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.7	10
3	Dender	6	2	3	1	-2	-2.8	9
4	Anderlecht	4	2	1	1	+6	+4.1	7
5	Genk	4	2	0	2	-1	+6.6	6
6	St. Gilloise	6	0	5	1	-1	+0.8	5
7	Gent	5	1	2	2	-1	-4.8	5
8	Mechelen	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.3	4
9	Charleroi	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.6	4
10	Cercle Brugge	7	1	1	5	-10	-7.0	4
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2
12	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	-6	-6.2	1
13	Standard	5	0	1	4	-12	-5.2	1
14	Beerschot VA	6	0	1	5	-13	-7.7	1
15	Kortrijk	7	0	1	6	-18	-9.7	1
16	St Truiden	5	0	0	5	-15	-5.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.