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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Kos
Cracovia
T S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Zaglebie
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Zaglebie
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
5,2
3,2
Scored
2,8
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
56%
31%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
69%
38%
Both score Ø 60%
81%
38%
Average goals
3,9
2,4
Scored
2,2
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,67 xG 1,24
61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cracovia 4. · Zaglebie 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 16 12 1 3 +20 +10.1 37
2 Jagiellonia 16 10 3 3 +7 -0.9 33
3 Rakow 16 9 5 2 +13 +9.8 32
4 Cracovia 16 9 2 5 +8 -0.4 29
5 Legia 16 8 4 4 +10 +8.6 28
6 Pogon Szczecin 16 8 1 7 +4 +6.6 25
7 Gornik Zabrze 16 7 3 6 +3 +5.3 24
8 Motor Lublin 16 7 3 6 -4 -1.1 24
9 Widzew Lodz 16 6 4 6 -1 -1.9 22
10 Piast Gliwice 16 5 5 6 +0 -3.2 20
11 GKS Katowice 16 5 4 7 +0 +0.5 19
12 Stal Mielec 16 5 3 8 -4 +4.5 18
13 Zaglebie 16 5 3 8 -8 -4.5 18
14 Korona Kielce 16 4 5 7 -10 -2.4 17
15 Radomiak Radom 15 5 1 9 -3 -1.7 16
16 Puszcza 16 3 5 8 -10 -11.2 14
17 Lechia Gdansk 16 2 5 9 -14 -16.2 11
18 Slask Wroclaw 15 1 7 7 -11 -2.0 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Zaglebie
8′
ℹ️ Michał Nalepa
VAR: Card upgrade
9′
🟥 Michał Nalepa
1–0 F. Bzdyl
D. Ólafsson
10′
11′
🔁 B. Kopacz
↦ A. Woźniak
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Jach
↦ I. Orlikowski
46′
🔁 V. Sejk
↦ B. Kłudka
F. Rózga 🔁
↦ F. Bzdyl
59′
P. Janasik 🔁
↦ O. Kakabadze
59′
M. Bochnak 🔁
↦ A. Hasić
74′
79′
🔁 D. Kurminowski
↦ T. Makowski
83′
🟨 Dawid Kurminowski
Filip Rózga 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Bartosz Kopacz
88′
🟨 Damian Dąbrowski
93′
J. Jach 1–1
94′
🟨 Jarosław Jach
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-3
27 H. Ravas G
24 J. Jugas D
5 V. Ghiță D
3 A. Skovgaard D
25 O. Kakabadze M
88 P. Sokołowski M
11 M. Maigaard M
19 D. Ólafsson M
14 A. Hasić F
9 B. Källman F
23 F. Bzdyl F
Bench (9)
18 F. Rózga
77 P. Janasik
17 M. Bochnak
10 M. Rakoczy
6 Amir Al Ammari
66 O. Wójcik
8 J. Atanasov
16 B. Biedrzycki
13 S. Madejski

Coach: D. Kroczek

Zaglebie

3-1-4-2
30 D. Hładun G
31 I. Orlikowski D
25 M. Nalepa D
5 A. Ławniczak D
8 D. Dąbrowski M
27 B. Kłudka M
6 T. Makowski M
7 M. Mróz M
17 M. Wdowiak M
21 T. Pieńko F
11 A. Woźniak F
Bench (9)
2 B. Kopacz
33 J. Jach
9 V. Sejk
90 D. Kurminowski
20 M. Dziewiatowski
55 Luís Mata
15 H. Adamczyk
23 P. Kusztal
1 J. Burić

Coach: M. Włodarski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Kos · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.