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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Mechelen
T S S U T
3–0
Full-time
Beerschot VA
U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Beerschot VA
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 21%
33%
9%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
44%
73%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
55%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,64 xG 0,79
44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 16
10 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 11. · Beerschot VA 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Antwerp 10 7 2 1 +17 +4.8 23
2 Genk 10 7 1 2 +9 +14.1 22
3 Club Brugge 10 6 3 1 +15 +9.2 21
4 Anderlecht 10 5 4 1 +14 +7.7 19
5 Gent 10 5 2 3 +11 -1.5 17
6 Charleroi 10 4 2 4 +1 +2.3 14
7 Dender 10 3 5 2 +0 -2.2 14
8 Standard 10 4 2 4 -8 -5.8 14
9 St. Gilloise 9 3 4 2 +3 +5.9 13
10 St Truiden 12 3 3 6 -14 -4.5 12
11 Mechelen 9 3 2 4 +0 -1.0 11
12 Cercle Brugge 12 3 2 7 -13 -9.4 11
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 1 5 3 -3 +2.1 8
14 Westerlo 9 2 2 5 -4 -1.6 8
15 Beerschot VA 11 1 4 6 -11 -11.7 7
16 Kortrijk 11 2 1 8 -17 -8.3 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Beerschot VA
20′
🟨 Omar Fayed
Kerim Mrabti 🟨
21′
Zinho Vanheusden 🟨
23′
Nikola Storm 🟨
35′
1–0 A. Touba
R. Schoofs
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 C. Keita
↦ Omar Fayed
Bilal Bafdili 🟨
48′
A. Ouattara 🔁
↦ B. Bafdili
56′
G. Hairemans 🔁
↦ Z. Vanheusden
69′
J. Van Cleemput 🔁
↦ R. Belghali
69′
2–0 B. Raman
G. Hairemans
71′
T. Raemaekers 🔁
↦ N. Storm
76′
P. Pflücke 🔁
↦ B. Raman
77′
78′
🔁 W. Cagro
↦ C. Dagba
78′
🔁 T. Reyners
↦ E. Henderson
3–0 P. Pflücke
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

3-4-2-1
1 O. De Wolf G
6 A. Touba D
13 Z. Vanheusden D
3 José Marsà D
17 R. Belghali M
19 K. Mrabti M
16 R. Schoofs M
23 D. Foulon M
35 B. Bafdili F
11 N. Storm F
14 B. Raman F
Bench (9)
32 A. Ouattara
7 G. Hairemans
2 J. Van Cleemput
4 T. Raemaekers
77 P. Pflücke
15 Y. Thoelen
5 S. Walsh
9 J. Ngoy
10 P. Dahl

Coach: B. Hasi

Beerschot VA

4-4-2
33 N. Shinton G
66 A. Konstantopoulos D
5 L. Mbe Soh D
6 Omar Fayed D
4 B. Plat D
2 C. Dagba M
8 E. Henderson M
16 Faisal Al Ghamdi M
10 T. Verlinden M
17 Marwan Al Sahafi F
25 A. Colassin F
Bench (9)
27 C. Keita
47 W. Cagro
7 T. Reyners
71 D. Matijaš
30 D. Huiberts
42 A. Martha
26 D. Tshimanga
9 A. Kosiah
28 M. Weymans

Coach: D. Kuijt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,40
U
4,98
B
6,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.