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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Kortrijk
T S T U T
0–3
Full-time
Mechelen
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 11/9 matches
Win Ø 26%
18%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
64%
33%
Both score Ø 29%
36%
22%
Average goals
2,9
2,1
Scored
0,7
0,9
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,83 xG 1,25
64% Possession 36%
15 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 14. · Mechelen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 10 8 1 1 +16 +11.5 25
2 Cercle Brugge 10 8 0 2 +11 +10.4 24
3 Anderlecht 10 7 2 1 +11 +7.1 23
4 Antwerp 10 4 5 1 +17 +11.7 17
5 Club Brugge 10 5 2 3 +12 +15.4 17
6 Gent 10 4 5 1 +3 +2.8 17
7 Genk 10 4 4 2 +11 +12.5 16
8 Standard 10 4 3 3 -3 -10.1 15
9 RWD Molenbeek 12 3 4 5 -10 -10.7 13
10 Mechelen 9 3 2 4 -3 -2.0 11
11 St Truiden 10 2 5 3 -5 -5.2 11
12 Charleroi 12 2 4 6 -8 -8.0 10
13 Eupen 12 2 2 8 -16 -18.6 8
14 Kortrijk 11 2 2 7 -16 -6.0 8
15 Westerlo 10 1 3 6 -8 -6.5 6
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 1 2 7 -12 -4.3 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Mechelen
6′
N. Bassette 0–1
R. Schoofs
10′
🟨 Daam Foulon
16′
R. Schoofs 0–2
Half-time 0–2
D. Mbayo 🔁
↦ R. Alebiosu
46′
F. Avenatti 🔁
↦ I. Davies
46′
54′
🟨 Mory Konate
67′
🔁 J. Van Hecke
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
68′
🔁 Y. Malede
↦ N. Bassette
A. Mighten 🔁
↦ M. Bruno
76′
N. Mehssatou 🔁
↦ M. Mampassi
76′
79′
K. Mrabti 0–3
Y. Malede
80′
🔁 B. Bafdili
↦ K. Mrabti
80′
🔁 P. Pflücke
↦ G. Hairemans
Sheyi Ojo 🟨
89′
92′
🔁 N. Mukau
↦ M. Konaté
Alex Mighten 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Kortrijk

3-4-2-1
1 T. Vandenberghe G
4 M. Mampassi D
44 João Silva D
16 M. Kana D
2 R. Alebiosu M
15 K. Malinov M
10 A. Kadri M
11 D. De Neve M
54 S. Ojo F
70 M. Bruno F
39 I. Davies F
Bench (7)
7 D. Mbayo
20 F. Avenatti
23 A. Mighten
6 N. Mehssatou
95 L. Pirard
27 A. Sissako
99 M. El Idrissy

Coach: J. Akpala

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
5 S. Walsh D
27 D. Bates D
22 E. Cobbaut D
23 D. Foulon D
8 M. Konaté M
30 J. Vanlerberghe M
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
19 K. Mrabti M
70 N. Bassette F
Bench (7)
6 J. Van Hecke
10 Y. Malede
35 B. Bafdili
77 P. Pflücke
34 N. Mukau
15 Y. Thoelen
28 F. Soelle Soelle

Coach: B. Hasi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,92
U
3,41
B ✓
2,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,75
U2,5
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.