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Pro League

Referee: B Verbeke

Mechelen

T T U S U

1–1

Full-time

Charleroi

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 28/27 matches

Win Ø 33%

25%

41%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

57%

41%

Both score Ø 56%

64%

48%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,57 xG 0,77

63% Possession 37%

19 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 12. · Charleroi 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	29	20	6	3	+41	+38.5	66
2	St. Gilloise	29	19	7	3	+35	+28.7	64
3	Genk	28	17	4	7	+17	+17.0	55
4	Anderlecht	29	15	6	8	+25	+5.9	51
5	Antwerp	28	12	10	6	+13	-4.7	46
6	Charleroi	27	11	8	8	+7	+7.1	41
7	Dender	29	9	10	10	-6	-14.0	37
8	Westerlo	29	9	8	12	+1	+1.9	35
9	Gent	28	9	8	11	-9	-12.3	35
10	Cercle Brugge	30	8	9	13	-19	-1.6	33
11	Standard	29	7	11	11	-15	-11.3	32
12	Mechelen	28	7	9	12	-5	+4.1	30
13	St Truiden	30	7	8	15	-23	-6.5	29
14	Kortrijk	30	8	4	18	-23	-17.2	28
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	29	4	14	11	-14	-9.1	26
16	Beerschot VA	30	4	8	18	-25	-26.4	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	11	1	2	+20	+19.5	34
2	Club Brugge	14	10	2	2	+23	+22.8	32
3	Genk	14	10	1	3	+15	+14.8	31
4	Charleroi	14	8	3	3	+11	+7.7	27
5	Anderlecht	15	7	4	4	+15	+3.3	25
6	Cercle Brugge	15	6	5	4	-2	+5.2	23
7	Antwerp	14	6	3	5	+8	+2.3	21
8	St Truiden	15	5	6	4	-2	+1.7	21
9	Westerlo	14	5	5	4	+8	+12.0	20
10	Dender	14	5	5	4	+6	-2.6	20
11	Gent	14	6	2	6	+2	-2.7	20
12	Standard	15	5	5	5	-1	-2.2	20
13	Mechelen	14	4	6	4	+6	+7.5	18
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	3	9	3	+1	-0.3	18
15	Beerschot VA	15	4	6	5	-2	-10.2	18
16	Kortrijk	15	5	2	8	-6	-4.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	10	4	1	+18	+15.7	34
2	St. Gilloise	15	8	6	1	+15	+9.2	30
3	Anderlecht	14	8	2	4	+10	+2.6	26
4	Antwerp	14	6	7	1	+5	-7.0	25
5	Genk	14	7	3	4	+2	+2.2	24
6	Dender	15	4	5	6	-12	-11.4	17
7	Westerlo	15	4	3	8	-7	-10.1	15
8	Gent	14	3	6	5	-11	-9.5	15
9	Charleroi	13	3	5	5	-4	-0.6	14
10	Mechelen	14	3	3	8	-11	-3.4	12
11	Standard	14	2	6	6	-14	-9.1	12
12	Kortrijk	15	3	2	10	-17	-13.2	11
13	Cercle Brugge	15	2	4	9	-17	-6.8	10
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	1	5	8	-15	-8.8	8
15	St Truiden	15	2	2	11	-21	-8.2	8
16	Beerschot VA	15	0	2	13	-23	-16.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.