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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

Genk

S S T T U

0–1

Full-time

Antwerp

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Antwerp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 25/24 matches

Win Ø 55%

68%

42%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

68%

50%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

63%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,9

1,7

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,87 xG 1,39

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

4 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 2. · Antwerp 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	25	17	5	3	+34	+33.1	56
2	Genk	25	17	4	4	+21	+17.8	55
3	St. Gilloise	25	16	6	3	+29	+25.8	54
4	Anderlecht	26	14	6	6	+26	+8.1	48
5	Antwerp	24	10	10	4	+15	-1.6	40
6	Charleroi	25	9	8	8	+5	+5.3	35
7	Gent	26	9	8	9	-3	-10.1	35
8	Dender	26	8	9	9	-9	-13.8	33
9	Cercle Brugge	28	8	9	11	-15	-1.6	33
10	Standard	26	7	9	10	-14	-10.4	30
11	Westerlo	26	7	8	11	-2	+1.7	29
12	Mechelen	26	6	8	12	-6	+0.9	26
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	26	4	14	8	-6	-5.0	26
14	St Truiden	28	6	7	15	-24	-9.3	25
15	Kortrijk	28	7	3	18	-25	-15.5	24
16	Beerschot VA	28	3	8	17	-26	-25.3	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	12	10	1	1	+18	+14.7	31
2	St. Gilloise	12	10	0	2	+19	+19.3	30
3	Club Brugge	13	9	2	2	+20	+20.3	29
4	Anderlecht	13	7	4	2	+18	+6.0	25
5	Charleroi	13	7	3	3	+10	+6.5	24
6	Cercle Brugge	14	6	5	3	+0	+5.3	23
7	Antwerp	12	6	3	3	+14	+4.5	21
8	Gent	13	6	2	5	+5	-3.1	20
9	Standard	13	5	4	4	+0	-2.8	19
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	3	9	1	+4	+2.9	18
11	St Truiden	14	4	6	4	-3	+0.8	18
12	Westerlo	13	4	5	4	+6	+12.1	17
13	Mechelen	13	4	5	4	+6	+6.1	17
14	Dender	13	4	5	4	+1	-3.6	17
15	Kortrijk	14	5	1	8	-6	-2.1	16
16	Beerschot VA	14	3	6	5	-4	-10.0	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	12	8	3	1	+14	+12.8	27
2	St. Gilloise	13	6	6	1	+10	+6.5	24
3	Genk	13	7	3	3	+3	+3.1	24
4	Anderlecht	13	7	2	4	+8	+2.2	23
5	Antwerp	12	4	7	1	+1	-6.1	19
6	Dender	13	4	4	5	-10	-10.3	16
7	Gent	13	3	6	4	-8	-7.1	15
8	Westerlo	13	3	3	7	-8	-10.4	12
9	Charleroi	12	2	5	5	-5	-1.2	11
10	Standard	13	2	5	6	-14	-7.6	11
11	Cercle Brugge	14	2	4	8	-15	-7.0	10
12	Mechelen	13	2	3	8	-12	-5.2	9
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	1	5	7	-10	-7.9	8
14	Kortrijk	14	2	2	10	-19	-13.3	8
15	St Truiden	14	2	1	11	-21	-10.1	7
16	Beerschot VA	14	0	2	12	-22	-15.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.