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Pro League
Referee: M Allaerts
Cercle Brugge
T U S U U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 14/11 matches
Win Ø 15%
21%
9%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
50%
27%
Both score Ø 50%
36%
64%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,20 xG 0,76
48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 11. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 12 8 3 1 +19 +12.5 27
2 Antwerp 12 8 3 1 +19 +5.2 27
3 Anderlecht 13 7 5 1 +17 +9.5 26
4 Genk 12 8 2 2 +10 +14.3 26
5 Gent 14 7 4 3 +14 -0.0 25
6 St. Gilloise 12 4 6 2 +5 +7.6 18
7 Charleroi 11 5 2 4 +2 +3.2 17
8 Dender 13 4 5 4 -2 -3.7 17
9 Mechelen 13 4 3 6 +0 -2.4 15
10 Standard 12 4 3 5 -9 -7.4 15
11 Cercle Brugge 14 3 4 7 -13 -7.8 13
12 St Truiden 16 3 4 9 -19 -6.4 13
13 Westerlo 12 3 3 6 -2 -2.3 12
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 1 7 3 -3 +2.3 10
15 Kortrijk 15 3 1 11 -23 -11.6 10
16 Beerschot VA 14 1 5 8 -15 -13.0 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Nils De Wilde 🟨
-5′
Thibo Somers 🟨
39′
39′
🟨 Federico Ricca
Half-time 0–0
P. Brunner 🔁
↦ Felipe Augusto
55′
K. Olaigbe 🔁
↦ Erick Nunes
67′
67′
🔁 M. Osifo
↦ Óscar Gil
Christiaan Ravych ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
70′
83′
🔁 W. Balikwisha
↦ K. N’Dri
M. Efekele 🔁
↦ G. Magnée
84′
A. Francis 🔁
↦ H. Van der Bruggen
84′
91′
🟨 Takahiro Akimoto
91′
🔁 Y. Maziz
↦ S. Mitrović
Kazeem Olaigbe ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
97′
1–0 K. Olaigbe
100′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

3-4-3
21 M. Delanghe G
2 I. Diakité D
66 C. Ravych D
90 E. Kakou D
8 Erick Nunes M
6 L. Agyekum M
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
15 G. Magnée M
11 A. Minda F
10 Felipe Augusto F
34 T. Somers F
Bench (9)
13 P. Brunner
19 K. Olaigbe
7 M. Efekele
17 A. Francis
3 E. Utkus
89 E. Room
18 S. Miangué
27 N. De Wilde
76 J. Lietaert

Coach: F. Feldhofer

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-2-3-1
1 T. Leysen G
27 Óscar Gil D
58 H. Kuruçay D
14 F. Ricca D
30 T. Akimoto D
6 E. Banzuzi M
4 B. Verstraete M
11 K. N’Dri M
8 S. Schrijvers M
23 S. Mitrović M
19 C. Ikwuemesi F
Bench (9)
25 M. Osifo
21 W. Balikwisha
10 Y. Maziz
5 T. Ominami
20 H. Mendyl
16 M. Prévot
99 D. Opoku
55 W. George
56 M. Parmentier

Coach: C. Coleman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,40
B
3,26
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Allaerts · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.