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Referee: W Smet

Cercle Brugge

S S S T T

3–2

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,62 xG 1,46

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cercle Brugge 4. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	4	2	1	+13	+10.5	14
2	Anderlecht	5	4	1	0	+5	+0.6	13
3	St. Gilloise	5	4	0	1	+4	+4.2	12
4	Cercle Brugge	6	4	0	2	+4	+5.5	12
5	RWD Molenbeek	9	3	3	3	-8	-7.1	12
6	Gent	5	3	2	0	+3	+2.5	11
7	Antwerp	6	2	4	0	+9	+3.9	10
8	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+4	-1.5	8
9	Eupen	8	2	1	5	-8	-8.2	7
10	Genk	5	1	3	1	+3	+7.2	6
11	Standard	6	1	3	2	+0	-4.7	6
12	St Truiden	6	1	3	2	-2	-4.1	6
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	-4	+1.9	5
14	Kortrijk	7	1	2	4	-10	-0.1	5
15	Charleroi	8	0	4	4	-7	-5.8	4
16	Westerlo	6	0	2	4	-6	-4.8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gent	3	3	0	0	+3	+0.8	9
2	Club Brugge	4	2	2	0	+8	+6.5	8
3	Mechelen	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.1	7
4	RWD Molenbeek	5	2	1	2	-3	-4.0	7
5	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.1	6
6	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.6	6
7	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.2	6
8	Antwerp	3	1	2	0	+6	+2.1	5
9	Kortrijk	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.2	5
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
11	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-7	-5.7	4
12	Charleroi	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.6	3
13	Genk	4	0	3	1	-1	+4.5	3
14	Standard	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.1	1
15	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
16	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.4	7
2	Club Brugge	3	2	0	1	+5	+4.0	6
3	St Truiden	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.7	6
4	Cercle Brugge	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.9	6
5	St. Gilloise	3	2	0	1	-2	+2.1	6
6	Antwerp	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.8	5
7	Standard	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.6	5
8	RWD Molenbeek	4	1	2	1	-5	-3.2	5
9	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
10	Eupen	3	1	0	2	-1	-2.5	3
11	Gent	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.6	2
12	Westerlo	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.8	2
13	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.9	1
15	Charleroi	5	0	1	4	-7	-6.4	1
16	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-10	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.