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Serie B
Referee: F Dionisi
Juve Stabia
T U U S S
1–0
Full-time
Cesena
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Cesena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
35%
41%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
59%
53%
Both score Ø 59%
53%
65%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
8 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Juve Stabia 6. · Cesena 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 18 13 4 1 +25 43
2 Spezia 18 10 7 1 +18 37
3 Pisa 18 10 5 3 +12 35
4 Cremonese 17 7 4 6 +4 25
5 Cesena 17 7 4 6 +3 25
6 Juve Stabia 17 6 7 4 -1 25
7 Bari 18 5 9 4 +3 24
8 Catanzaro 18 4 11 3 +3 23
9 Modena 18 5 8 5 +1 23
10 Carrarese 18 6 5 7 -4 23
11 Mantova 18 5 7 6 -2 22
12 Palermo 18 5 6 7 +1 21
13 Brescia 18 5 6 7 -3 21
14 Cosenza 18 4 8 6 -3 20
15 Reggiana 18 4 6 8 -5 18
16 Sampdoria 17 4 6 7 -6 18
17 Salernitana 18 4 6 8 -7 18
18 Cittadella 18 4 6 8 -14 18
19 Sudtirol 18 5 2 11 -13 17
20 Frosinone 18 3 7 8 -12 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juve Stabia Cesena
1–0 R. Floriani Mussolini
K. Piscopo
21′
Leonardo Candellone 🟨
36′
Niccolò Fortini 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 A. Kargbo
↦ T. Berti
58′
🔁 A. Ciofi
↦ G. Prestia
65′
🔁 R. Celia
↦ D. Donnarumma
Y. Rocchetti 🔁
↦ N. Fortini
66′
66′
🔁 S. van Hooijdonk
↦ M. Antonucci
Demba Thiam 🟨
74′
G. Artistico 🔁
↦ A. Adorante
74′
M. Meli 🔁
↦ K. Piscopo
74′
79′
🟨 Raffaele Celia
81′
🔁 S. Bastoni
↦ M. Francesconi
84′
🟨 Joseph Ceesay
84′
🟨 Joseph Ceesay
84′
🟥 Joseph Ceesay
85′
🟨 Simone Bastoni
M. Baldi 🔁
↦ R. Floriani Mussolini
87′
F. Zuccon 🔁
↦ C. Pierobon
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Juve Stabia

3-4-1-2
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
24 M. Varnier D
6 M. Bellich D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
55 G. Leone M
10 C. Pierobon M
29 N. Fortini M
11 K. Piscopo F
27 L. Candellone F
9 A. Adorante F
Bench (10)
3 Y. Rocchetti
90 G. Artistico
14 M. Meli
13 M. Baldi
7 F. Zuccon
5 T. Di Marco
1 K. Matošević
25 A. Gerbo
99 E. Piovanello
16 A. Signorini

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Cesena

3-4-2-1
33 J. Klinsmann G
3 M. Curto D
19 G. Prestia D
24 M. Mangraviti D
11 J. Ceesay M
70 M. Francesconi M
35 G. Calò M
7 D. Donnarumma M
20 E. Tavşan F
14 T. Berti F
23 M. Antonucci F
Bench (12)
10 A. Kargbo
15 A. Ciofi
13 R. Celia
18 S. van Hooijdonk
30 S. Bastoni
26 M. Piacentini
4 R. Chiarello
1 M. Pisseri
8 S. Hraiech
73 S. Pieraccini
5 L. Mendicino
17 E. Adamo

Coach: M. Mignani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,68
U
3,02
B
2,75
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.