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Premiership

Referee: J Beaton

Hearts

U S T T U

2–1

Full-time

ST Johnstone

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts ST Johnstone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 21%

18%

24%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

47%

65%

Both score Ø 56%

59%

53%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 0

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 12. · ST Johnstone 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	16	14	2	0	+40	44
2	Rangers	16	11	2	3	+19	35
3	Aberdeen	17	10	4	3	+10	34
4	Motherwell	17	8	2	7	-4	26
5	Dundee United	17	6	7	4	+6	25
6	St Mirren	18	7	3	8	-5	24
7	Dundee	17	5	4	8	-3	19
8	Hibernian	18	4	6	8	-6	18
9	Kilmarnock	18	4	6	8	-16	18
10	Ross County	18	3	6	9	-21	15
11	ST Johnstone	17	4	2	11	-12	14
12	Hearts	17	3	4	10	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	9	8	1	0	+19	25
2	Aberdeen	10	7	1	2	+8	22
3	Celtic	7	6	1	0	+19	19
4	Dundee United	9	4	3	2	+6	15
5	St Mirren	9	4	2	3	+2	14
6	Motherwell	9	4	2	3	-2	14
7	Dundee	8	4	1	3	+6	13
8	Ross County	10	3	3	4	-2	12
9	Hibernian	9	2	4	3	+0	10
10	Hearts	8	2	3	3	+1	9
11	Kilmarnock	7	2	3	2	-3	9
12	ST Johnstone	8	2	0	6	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	9	8	1	0	+21	25
2	Aberdeen	7	3	3	1	+2	12
3	Motherwell	8	4	0	4	-2	12
4	Dundee United	8	2	4	2	+0	10
5	Rangers	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	St Mirren	9	3	1	5	-7	10
7	Kilmarnock	11	2	3	6	-13	9
8	ST Johnstone	9	2	2	5	-5	8
9	Hibernian	9	2	2	5	-6	8
10	Dundee	9	1	3	5	-9	6
11	Hearts	9	1	1	7	-9	4
12	Ross County	8	0	3	5	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.