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Pro League
Referee: Simon Bourdeaud'hui
Mechelen
S S U S S
0–1
Full-time
Standard
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
50%
10%
Points per game
1,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
30%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
60%
30%
Average goals
2,2
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,44 xG 1,11
56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 4. · Standard 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 10 8 2 0 +19 +15.3 26
2 Club Brugge 10 8 1 1 +8 +3.2 25
3 St Truiden 10 6 2 2 +4 +8.8 20
4 Mechelen 10 5 4 1 +6 -2.2 19
5 Gent 9 6 1 2 +5 +2.4 19
6 Anderlecht 10 5 3 2 +7 +7.1 18
7 Waregem 12 5 2 5 +0 -6.5 17
8 Genk 9 3 3 3 +0 +1.9 12
9 RAAL La Louviere 12 3 3 6 -5 -7.9 12
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 3 2 5 -4 -3.5 11
11 Cercle Brugge 12 2 4 6 -4 +0.7 10
12 Westerlo 10 2 4 4 -4 +0.1 10
13 Charleroi 10 3 1 6 -4 -2.4 10
14 Antwerp 10 2 3 5 -3 -4.4 9
15 Standard 10 1 3 6 -11 -4.9 6
16 Dender 12 1 2 9 -14 -7.5 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Standard
31′
🔁 D. Eckert Ayensa
↦ D. Dierckx
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Kuavita
↦ C. Nielsen
46′
🔁 T. Nkada
↦ T. Henry
56′
D. Eckert Ayensa 0–1
N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
K. Mrabti 🔁
↦ M. Konate
67′
B. Antonio 🔁
↦ I. Struyf
67′
M. Zekri 🔁
↦ D. Salifou
68′
74′
🟨 Tobias Mohr
H. Bande 🔁
↦ B. Raman
78′
78′
🔁 A. Calut
↦ T. Mohr
B. Bafdili 🔁
↦ T. Koudou
82′
Kerim Mrabti 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

3-4-1-2
13 N. Miras G
33 T. St. Jago D
8 M. Konate D
18 I. Struyf D
7 T. Koudou M
17 M. Servais M
29 D. Salifou M
3 J. Marsa M
9 M. van Brederode F
20 L. Lauberbach F
14 B. Raman F
Bench (10)
15 T. Van Ingelgom
32 A. WIllockx
4 G. Diouf
11 B. Bafdili
12 H. Bande
19 K. Mrabti
22 L. Golic
23 M. Zekri
38 B. Antonio
39 M. Decoene

Coach: Frédéric Vanderbiest

Standard

3-5-1-1
1 M. Epolo G
29 D. Dierckx D
25 I. Hautekiet D
24 J. Homawoo D
18 H. Lawrence M
94 C. Nielsen M
20 I. Karamoko M
8 N. Mehssatou Sepulveda M
7 T. Mohr M
27 M. El Hankouri F
9 T. Henry F
Bench (8)
21 L. Pirard
45 M. Godfroid
6 H. Sahabo
10 D. Eckert Ayensa
14 L. Kuavita
22 A. Calut
53 S. Assengue
59 T. Nkada

Coach: Vincent Euvrard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U
3,32
B ✓
3,08
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Simon Bourdeaud'hui · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.