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Pro League

Referee: Bram Van Driessche

Genk

U U U S S

0–1

Full-time

Mechelen

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 41%

38%

44%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

75%

33%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,41 xG 1,71

66% Possession 34%

20 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 8. · Mechelen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+19	+15.3	26
2	Club Brugge	10	8	1	1	+8	+3.2	25
3	Gent	9	6	1	2	+5	+2.4	19
4	St Truiden	9	5	2	2	+3	+8.0	17
5	Waregem	12	5	2	5	+0	-6.5	17
6	Mechelen	9	4	4	1	+5	-1.5	16
7	Anderlecht	9	4	3	2	+6	+6.2	15
8	Genk	8	3	3	2	+1	+1.2	12
9	RAAL La Louviere	11	3	3	5	-4	-7.0	12
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	3	2	4	-3	-2.6	11
11	Cercle Brugge	12	2	4	6	-4	+0.7	10
12	Westerlo	10	2	4	4	-4	+0.1	10
13	Charleroi	10	3	1	6	-4	-2.4	10
14	Antwerp	9	2	3	4	-2	-4.3	9
15	Standard	10	1	3	6	-11	-4.9	6
16	Dender	11	0	2	9	-15	-7.6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+14	+8.6	15
2	Club Brugge	5	4	1	0	+5	+1.2	13
3	Gent	4	4	0	0	+9	+3.0	12
4	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
5	Waregem	7	3	1	3	+1	-2.8	10
6	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+3	+4.5	8
7	Antwerp	6	2	2	2	+1	-0.6	8
8	RAAL La Louviere	5	2	2	1	+0	-3.3	8
9	Genk	4	2	1	1	+1	+2.0	7
10	Charleroi	5	2	1	2	+0	-1.1	7
11	Mechelen	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.9	5
12	Westerlo	4	1	2	1	+1	+2.9	5
13	Cercle Brugge	7	1	2	4	-3	+0.9	5
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	1	2	+2	-0.9	4
15	Standard	5	0	3	2	-4	+0.4	3
16	Dender	4	0	0	4	-6	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	5	4	0	1	+3	+2.0	12
2	St. Gilloise	5	3	2	0	+5	+6.7	11
3	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+4	-2.4	11
4	Anderlecht	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.7	7
5	Waregem	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.7	7
6	Gent	5	2	1	2	-4	-0.7	7
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	2	1	2	-5	-1.8	7
8	St Truiden	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.6	5
9	Genk	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.9	5
10	Cercle Brugge	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.2	5
11	Westerlo	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.7	5
12	RAAL La Louviere	6	1	1	4	-4	-3.7	4
13	Charleroi	5	1	0	4	-4	-1.3	3
14	Standard	5	1	0	4	-7	-5.3	3
15	Dender	7	0	2	5	-9	-5.6	2
16	Antwerp	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.