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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
St Truiden
U T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Standard
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
13%
Points per game
1,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,6
Conceded
1,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,58 xG 0,34
66% Possession 34%
16 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 7. · Standard 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 9 7 2 0 +17 +14.3 23
2 Club Brugge 9 7 1 1 +7 +2.7 22
3 Gent 8 6 0 2 +5 +3.8 18
4 Mechelen 9 4 4 1 +5 -1.5 16
5 Waregem 11 5 1 5 +0 -4.7 16
6 Anderlecht 9 4 3 2 +6 +6.2 15
7 St Truiden 8 4 2 2 +2 +6.7 14
8 Genk 8 3 3 2 +1 +1.2 12
9 RAAL La Louviere 11 3 3 5 -4 -7.0 12
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 3 2 4 -3 -2.6 11
11 Cercle Brugge 11 2 4 5 -2 +1.8 10
12 Charleroi 9 3 1 5 -3 -2.0 10
13 Antwerp 9 2 3 4 -2 -4.3 9
14 Westerlo 9 2 3 4 -4 -1.3 9
15 Standard 8 1 2 5 -10 -5.5 5
16 Dender 11 0 2 9 -15 -7.6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Standard
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Goto
57′
59′
🔁 N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
↦ A. Abid
59′
🔁 T. Nkada
↦ D. Eckert Ayensa
75′
🔁 S. Assengue
↦ I. Hautekiet
K. Matsuzawa 🔁
↦ I. Sebaoui
76′
79′
🔁 L. Kuavita
↦ T. Mohr
Keisuke Goto ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
87′
R. Merlen 🔁
↦ R. Ito
87′
95′
🟨 Thomas Henry
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
16 L. Kokubo G
3 T. Hata D
20 R. Van Helden D
5 S. Taniguchi D
18 S. Jukleroed
6 R. Yamamoto M
8 A. Sissako M
7 A. Muja M
13 R. Ito M
10 I. Sebaoui M
42 K. Goto F
Bench (9)
21 M. Lendfers
9 A. Ferrari
11 I. Delpupo
14 R. Merlen
22 W. Janssens
33 A. Diriken
34 H. Lambotte
38 K. Matsuzawa
53 A. Nhaili

Coach: Wouter Vrancken

Standard

4-2-3-1
1 M. Epolo G
20 I. Karamoko D
25 I. Hautekiet D
24 J. Homawoo D
7 T. Mohr D
27 M. El Hankouri M
6 H. Sahabo M
11 A. Abid M
10 D. Eckert Ayensa M
17 R. Said M
9 T. Henry F
Bench (8)
21 L. Pirard
45 M. Godfroid
8 N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
14 L. Kuavita
18 H. Lawrence
29 D. Dierckx
53 S. Assengue
59 T. Nkada

Coach: Vincent Euvrard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
U
3,49
B
3,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.