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Eredivisie

Referee: Stan Teuben

Zwolle

U S T S U

2–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,7

3,7

Scored

2,2

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 28%

23%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

62%

67%

Both score Ø 69%

54%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,61 xG 1,92

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 9

4 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 15. · Heerenveen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	11	1	1	+24	+12.7	34
2	Feyenoord	13	9	1	3	+17	+19.0	28
3	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	3	3	+5	+8.3	24
4	Nijmegen	13	6	3	4	+11	+4.9	21
5	Ajax	13	5	5	3	+4	+2.8	20
6	Groningen	13	6	2	5	+0	+5.1	20
7	Utrecht	12	6	1	5	+6	-2.4	19
8	Twente	13	4	5	4	+2	+11.1	17
9	For Sittard	13	5	2	6	-2	-6.9	17
10	Sparta Rotterdam	13	5	2	6	-10	-4.8	17
11	Heerenveen	12	4	4	4	+0	+10.1	16
12	Go Ahead Eagles	13	4	4	5	-1	-5.5	16
13	Volendam	13	3	5	5	-4	-10.0	14
14	Excelsior	13	4	1	8	-11	-8.6	13
15	Zwolle	13	3	4	6	-13	-12.0	13
16	NAC Breda	13	3	3	7	-7	-6.9	12
17	Heracles	13	4	0	9	-14	-10.4	12
18	Telstar	13	2	4	7	-7	-6.4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Utrecht	6	5	0	1	+10	+3.7	15
2	Feyenoord	7	5	0	2	+5	+11.1	15
3	PSV Eindhoven	6	4	1	1	+9	+7.7	13
4	Nijmegen	6	4	1	1	+9	+5.3	13
5	Ajax	7	4	1	2	+4	+5.3	13
6	For Sittard	6	4	1	1	+4	+1.3	13
7	Volendam	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.4	12
8	Heerenveen	7	3	3	1	+3	+8.8	12
9	Groningen	7	3	2	2	+4	+4.8	11
10	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	2	1	+3	+4.4	11
11	Go Ahead Eagles	6	3	2	1	+3	+0.7	11
12	NAC Breda	7	3	1	3	+0	+3.1	10
13	Heracles	6	3	0	3	+0	-1.8	9
14	Twente	6	2	2	2	-1	+6.9	8
15	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	-7	-3.2	8
16	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-6	-2.8	7
17	Excelsior	6	2	0	4	-2	-3.5	6
18	Telstar	7	1	3	3	-3	+0.5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+15	+5.0	21
2	Feyenoord	6	4	1	1	+12	+7.9	13
3	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	1	2	+2	+3.9	13
4	Twente	7	2	3	2	+3	+4.2	9
5	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	0	3	-3	-1.7	9
6	Groningen	6	3	0	3	-4	+0.3	9
7	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	+2	-0.4	8
8	Ajax	6	1	4	1	+0	-2.5	7
9	Excelsior	7	2	1	4	-9	-5.0	7
10	Zwolle	7	1	3	3	-7	-9.2	6
11	Go Ahead Eagles	7	1	2	4	-4	-6.1	5
12	Heerenveen	5	1	1	3	-3	+1.3	4
13	Utrecht	6	1	1	4	-4	-6.1	4
14	Telstar	6	1	1	4	-4	-6.8	4
15	For Sittard	7	1	1	5	-6	-8.2	4
16	Heracles	7	1	0	6	-14	-8.6	3
17	NAC Breda	6	0	2	4	-7	-10.0	2
18	Volendam	6	0	2	4	-8	-9.6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.