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La Liga

Referee: J Sanchez

Alaves

S T S U S

5–2

Full-time

Osasuna

T T U S S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%

12 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 5. · Osasuna 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+15	+9.4	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	0	1	+7	+6.1	9
3	Betis	4	3	0	1	+0	-1.4	9
4	La Coruna	4	2	2	0	+3	-1.7	8
5	Alaves	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.7	7
6	Osasuna	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.9	7
7	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.0	7
8	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+1	-1.1	6
9	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.6	6
10	Levante	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
11	Santander	4	1	1	2	-1	+2.0	4
12	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.6	4
13	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.4	4
14	Espanol	3	1	0	2	+1	-1.4	3
15	Getafe	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.8	3
16	Villarreal	4	0	2	2	-2	+2.2	2
17	Celta	4	0	2	2	-3	-4.4	2
18	Elche	3	0	1	2	-6	-3.5	1
19	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.9	1
20	Valencia	4	0	1	3	-8	+0.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+7	+4.5	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.7	6
3	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.1	6
4	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.1	6
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
6	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
7	Santander	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
8	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.6	4
9	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.1	4
10	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
11	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
12	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
13	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
14	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
15	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
16	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.8	1
17	Valencia	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.3	1
18	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
19	Celta	2	0	0	2	-3	-4.5	0
20	Elche	1	0	0	1	-5	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+10	+3.7	6
2	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.8	4
3	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
5	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
6	Real Madrid	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
7	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
8	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.2	3
9	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
10	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.2	2
11	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
12	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
13	Levante	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.7	1
14	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Santander	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.1	0
16	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.0	0
17	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0
18	Sociedad	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.4	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.7	0
20	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.