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La Liga
Referee: J Munuera
Vallecano
U S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Alaves
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,42 xG 2,00
48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Vallecano Alaves
R. Nteka 🔁
↦ I. Palazon
17′
Pelayo Fernández ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
36′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Nahuel Tenaglia
1–0 S. Camello
J. de Frutos
48′
A. Garcia 🔁
↦ F. Perez
55′
O. Valentin 🔁
↦ P. Fernandez
55′
D. Cardenas 🔁
↦ A. Batalla
60′
62′
🔁 D. Suarez
↦ M. Rodriguez
62′
🔁 M. Diaz
↦ L. Boye
70′
🔁 Yusi
↦ Jonny Otto
Sergio Camello 🟨
73′
80′
🔁 N. Valentini
↦ V. Koski
80′
🔁 C. Alena
↦ A. Perez
84′
M. Diaz 1–1
92′
🟨 Nicolás Valentini
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-1-4-1
13 A. Batalla G
2 A. Ratiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
22 P. Fernandez D
33 J. Vertrouwd D
6 P. Ciss M
19 J. de Frutos M
7 I. Palazon M
8 U. Lopez M
21 F. Perez M
10 S. Camello F
Bench (11)
1 D. Cardenas
20 I. Balliu
26 M. de las Sias
27 S. Lozano
18 A. Garcia
4 P. Diaz
23 O. Valentin
11 R. Nteka
34 I. Alonso Martin
9 Alemao
14 G. Tsitaishvili

Coach: Benat San Jose

Alaves

5-3-2
1 A. Sivera G
7 A. Perez D
14 N. Tenaglia D
16 V. Koski D
17 Jonny Otto D
21 A. Rebbach D
19 P. Ibanez M
8 A. Blanco M
18 M. Rodriguez
15 L. Boye F
11 T. Martinez F
Bench (12)
13 A. Rodriguez
2 N. Valentini
3 Yusi
12 H. Novoa Ramos
4 D. Suarez
10 C. Alena
23 C. Protesoni
6 A. Guevara
20 A. Manas
9 M. Diaz
22 M. Rodriguez
27 X. Olaiz

Coach: Quique Sanchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,23
U ✓
2,99
B
3,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,63
U2,5 ✓
1,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Munuera · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.