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Ligue 1

Referee: Clement Turpin

Marseille

T S S S T

2–3

Full-time

Paris FC

S T S U S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Paris FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

1,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%

14 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 10. · Paris FC 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.1	9
2	Lyon	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
3	Lille	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.9	7
4	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.2	7
5	Strasbourg	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.8	6
6	Brest	3	1	2	0	+1	+3.9	5
7	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.0	4
8	Lorient	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
9	Troyes	3	1	1	1	-3	-0.4	4
10	Marseille	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.4	3
11	Lens	3	1	0	2	+1	+3.7	3
12	Angers	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.5	3
13	Paris SG	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.5	2
14	Le Mans	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.1	2
15	Nice	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.8	2
16	Le Havre	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.8	1
17	Toulouse	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.2	1
18	Auxerre	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
2	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
3	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
4	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
5	Lens	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.6	3
6	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
7	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
8	Nice	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
9	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
11	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
12	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-4	-1.4	1
13	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
15	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.3	0
16	Le Havre	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.8	0
17	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.8	0
18	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	-3	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lille	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.8	6
2	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.8	6
3	Brest	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
4	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
5	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.3	3
6	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	-2.1	3
7	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
9	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
10	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
11	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
12	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
13	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
14	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.1	1
15	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
16	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
17	Nice	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
18	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.