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Serie A
Referee: Valerio Crezzini
Atalanta
U S T U U
2–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,88 xG 2,70
56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 22
7 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Mar -26 Sassuolo – Atalanta 2–1 9. Nov -25 Atalanta – Sassuolo 0–3 17. Feb -24 Atalanta – Sassuolo 3–0 3. Jan -24 Atalanta – Sassuolo 3–1 20. Aug -23 Sassuolo – Atalanta 0–2

Match report

Atalanta Sassuolo
1–0 G. Raspadori ⚽
G. Gaetano
6′
Half-time 1–1
55′
⚽ C. Odenthal 1–1
L. Samardzic 🔁
↦ M. Pasalic
60′
C. De Ketelaere 🔁
↦ N. Zalewski
60′
N. Krstovic 🔁
↦ G. Scamacca
60′
64′
🔁 K. Thorstvedt
↦ V. Adzic
2–1 N. Krstovic ⚽
65′
S. Kolasinac 🔁
↦ L. Bernasconi
71′
74′
🔁 F. Leysen
↦ T. Macchioni
74′
🔁 B. Dominguez
↦ N. Matic
E. Elmas 🔁
↦ G. Raspadori
82′
88′
🔁 R. Ciervo
↦ C. Volpato
88′
🔁 G. Kulla
↦ K. Bowie
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Atalanta

4-3-3
29 M. Carnesecchi G
77 D. Zappacosta D
3 O. Kossounou D
42 G. Scalvini D
47 L. Bernasconi D
8 M. Pasalic M
70 G. Gaetano M
13 Ederson M
59 N. Zalewski F
9 G. Scamacca F
18 G. Raspadori F
Bench (12)
57 M. Sportiello
95 P. Vismara
23 S. Kolasinac
40 R. Obric
16 R. Bellanova
99 E. Elmas
6 I. Sulemana
15 M. De Roon
10 L. Samardzic
17 C. De Ketelaere
49 F. Cassa
90 N. Krstovic

Coach: Maurizio Sarri

Sassuolo

4-3-3
49 A. Muric G
46 S. Cinquegrano D
26 C. Odenthal D
31 T. Macchioni D
3 J. Doig D
17 V. Adzic M
18 N. Matic M
50 D. Bakola M
7 C. Volpato F
9 K. Bowie F
45 A. Lauriente F
Bench (15)
80 S. Turati
21 J. Idzes
16 F. Leysen
2 F. Missori
23 A. Di Bitonto
33 R. Obrador
8 A. Ghion
35 L. Lipani
42 K. Thorstvedt
44 E. Iannoni
77 N. Pierini
25 B. Dominguez
20 R. Ciervo
30 P. Nuamah
14 G. Kulla

Coach: Alberto Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
🔒
U
4,23
🔒
B
5,94
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
U2,5
2,15
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Valerio Crezzini · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.