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Serie A
Referee: Livio Marinelli
Inter
S S S U U
4–1
Full-time
Monza
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Monza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,05 xG 1,23
70% Possession 30%
13 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 8
5 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Mar -25 Inter – Monza 3–2 15. Sep -24 Monza – Inter 1–1 13. Jan -24 Monza – Inter 1–5 19. Aug -23 Inter – Monza 2–0 15. Apr -23 Inter – Monza 0–1

Match report

Inter Monza
1–0 H. Calhanoglu ⚽
A. Diouf
6′
29′
⚽ G. Varela 1–1
M. Mout
Lautaro Martínez 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–1
Hakan Çalhanoğlu 🟨
46′
2–1 P. Zielinski ⚽
48′
P. Sucic 🔁
↦ H. Calhanoglu
54′
A. Bonny 🔁
↦ L. Martinez
54′
3–1 F. Esposito ⚽
A. Diouf
55′
4–1 Y. Bisseck ⚽
F. Esposito
63′
69′
🟨 Eddy Kouadio
70′
🔁 N. Galazzi
↦ M. Mout
70′
🔁 O. Forson
↦ A. Colpani
70′
🔁 P. Cutrone
↦ A. Bakoune
J. Stones 🔁
↦ M. Akanji
75′
Luis Henrique 🔁
↦ A. Diouf
75′
A. Stankovic 🔁
↦ P. Zielinski
83′
83′
🔁 J. Robinson
↦ G. Varela
84′
🟨 Lorenzo Lucchesi
88′
🔁 F. Delli Carri
↦ L. Lucchesi
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 J. Martinez G
31 Y. Bisseck D
25 M. Akanji D
95 A. Bastoni D
17 A. Diouf M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Calhanoglu M
7 P. Zielinski M
32 F. Dimarco M
94 F. Esposito F
10 L. Martinez F
Bench (12)
49 I. Provedel
12 R. Di Gennaro
46 L. Bovio
6 J. Stones
28 B. Pavard
5 A. Stankovic
8 P. Sucic
30 Carlos Augusto
9 M. Thuram
11 Luis Henrique
14 A. Bonny
52 J. Iddrissou

Coach: Cristian Chivu

Monza

3-4-3
13 S. Pizzignacco G
60 E. Kouadio D
3 L. Lucchesi D
44 A. Carboni D
24 A. Bakoune M
8 F. Ondoa M
80 M. Mout M
19 S. Birindelli M
28 A. Colpani F
9 G. Varela F
7 R. Mangas F
Bench (9)
43 A. Strajnar
50 A. Ballabio
6 V. Antov
15 F. Delli Carri
23 N. Galazzi
11 O. Forson
46 J. Robinson
22 S. Loubao
10 P. Cutrone

Coach: Ivan Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,19
🔒
U
6,66
🔒
B
13,73
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,58
🔒
U2,5
2,30
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Livio Marinelli · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.