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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Aalesund
T S T S T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 9. · Brann 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Viking 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Haugesund 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Rosenborg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Odd 3 1 2 0 +1 5
6 Bodo/Glimt 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Tromso 3 0 3 0 +0 3
8 Sogndal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Aalesund 2 1 0 1 -2 3
10 Brann 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Start 3 0 2 1 -1 2
12 Lillestrom 3 0 2 1 -2 2
13 Stromsgodset 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Sarpsborg 08 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Stabaek 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Valerenga 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Brann
1–0 P. Larsen
A. Þrándarson
6′
Edwin Gyasi 🟨
25′
Petter Orry Larsen 🟨
35′
43′
🟨 Daniel Braaten
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Remi Johansen
59′
🔁 S. Skålevik
↦ M. Hvilsom
59′
R. Johansen 1–1
A. Nouri
J. Riise 🔁
↦ V. Hoff
60′
M. Abdellaoue 🔁
↦ E. Gyasi
71′
74′
🔁 D. Vega
↦ R. Johansen
Marlinho 🔁
↦ F. Boli
80′
82′
🔁 A. Karadas
↦ E. Huseklepp
83′
A. Karadas 1–2
D. Vega
90′
🟨 Ruben Kristiansen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
23 E. Skagestad
2 M. Kirkeskov D
22 A. Arnarson D
21 B. Riise M
10 P. Larsen M
11 A. Þrándarson M
18 V. Hoff M
14 E. Gyasi M
7 F. Boli F
Bench (7)
6 J. Riise
30 M. Abdellaoue
15 Marlinho
3 D. Grétarsson
20 T. Martinussen
32 S. Sødergren
40 S. Fet

Brann

24 P. Leciejewski
33 A. Nouri D
6 V. Demidov D
15 B. Acosta D
21 R. Kristiansen D
8 F. Haugen M
16 R. Johansen M
23 S. Nilsen M
13 E. Huseklepp M
25 D. Braaten F
22 M. Hvilsom F
Bench (7)
11 S. Skålevik
19 D. Vega
18 A. Karadas
1 A. Horwath
5 J. Grønner
7 K. Larsen
26 D. Hatakka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.