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Ligue 1
Referee: Fredy Fautrel
Lorient
S S U U T
1–3
Full-time
Lyon
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 37%
29%
45%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
52%
52%
Both score Ø 55%
68%
42%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
5 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 14. · Lyon 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 32 25 5 2 +63 80
2 Monaco 32 14 13 5 +11 55
3 Rennes 32 13 12 7 +11 51
4 Nice 32 14 8 10 +10 50
5 Lyon 31 14 7 10 +16 49
6 St Etienne 32 14 6 12 +4 48
7 Lille 32 11 13 8 +5 46
8 Caen 32 14 4 14 -8 46
9 Angers 32 12 9 11 +3 45
10 Nantes 32 11 11 10 -4 44
11 Bastia 32 12 7 13 -2 43
12 Bordeaux 32 10 12 10 -9 42
13 Marseille 32 8 15 9 +5 39
14 Lorient 31 9 12 10 -5 39
15 Guingamp 32 10 9 13 -8 39
16 Montpellier 32 10 7 15 -2 37
17 Reims 32 8 9 15 -12 33
18 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 32 7 12 13 -14 33
19 Toulouse 32 6 11 15 -15 29
20 Troyes 32 2 8 22 -49 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Aug -15 Lyon – Lorient 0–0

Match report

Lorient Lyon
1–0 A. Waris
M. Barthelmé
36′
44′
A. Lacazette 1–1
Half-time 1–1
67′
🔁 H. Bedimo
↦ J. Morel
J. Cabot 🔁
↦ M. Barthelmé
69′
B. Moukandjo 🔁
↦ B. Jeannot
76′
76′
🔁 M. Valbuena
↦ M. Cornet
80′
R. Ghezzal 1–2
M. Valbuena
R. Philippoteaux 🔁
↦ Y. Jouffre
83′
84′
A. Lacazette 1–3
R. Ghezzal
85′
🔁 C. Grenier
↦ Sergi Darder
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Lorient

40 B. Lecomte G
6 F. Bellugou M
25 L. Gassama D
5 Z. Touré D
14 Raphaël Guerreiro D
3 Y. Musavu-King D
8 Y. Jouffre M
17 W. Mesloub M
28 M. Barthelmé M
9 A. Waris F
22 B. Jeannot F
Bench (7)
27 J. Cabot
12 B. Moukandjo
19 R. Philippoteaux
13 R. Abdullah
18 H. Karamoko
29 P. Paye
30 F. Chaigneau

Lyon

1 Anthony Lopes G
13 C. Jallet D
15 J. Morel D
2 M. Yanga-Mbiwa D
23 S. Umtiti D
11 R. Ghezzal M
12 J. Ferri M
14 Sergi Darder M
8 C. Tolisso M
10 A. Lacazette F
27 M. Cornet F
Bench (7)
3 H. Bedimo
19 M. Valbuena
7 C. Grenier
4 Bakary Koné
22 G. Perrin
28 A. Mvuemba
30 M. Gorgelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fredy Fautrel · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
6,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.