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Serie A
Referee: Marco Guida
Inter
S T S S U
1–2
Full-time
Torino
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 40%
53%
27%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
47%
60%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 5
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 5. · Torino 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 31 23 4 4 +40 73
2 Napoli 31 20 7 4 +36 67
3 Roma 31 18 9 4 +34 63
4 Fiorentina 31 16 8 7 +18 56
5 Inter 30 16 7 7 +12 55
6 Milan 31 13 10 8 +8 49
7 Sassuolo 31 12 12 7 +6 48
8 Lazio 31 11 9 11 -3 42
9 Chievo 31 11 8 12 -3 41
10 Genoa 31 10 7 14 -1 37
11 Bologna 30 10 6 14 -5 36
12 Atalanta 31 9 9 13 -6 36
13 Empoli 31 9 9 13 -9 36
14 Udinese 31 9 7 15 -17 34
15 Sampdoria 31 8 9 14 -5 33
16 Torino 30 8 9 13 -5 33
17 Carpi 31 6 10 15 -20 28
18 Palermo 31 7 7 17 -25 28
19 Frosinone 31 7 6 18 -30 27
20 Verona 30 2 13 15 -25 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Nov -15 Torino – Inter 0–1

Match report

Inter Torino
17′
🟨 Emiliano Moretti
1–0 M. Icardi
17′
João Miranda 🟨
19′
29′
🟨 Giuseppe Vives
Gary Medel 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–1
55′
C. Molinaro 1–1
M. López
56′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ J. Obi
João Miranda 🟨
57′
João Miranda 🟥
57′
J. Murillo 🔁
↦ A. Ljajić
59′
67′
🔁 A. Gazzi
↦ G. Vives
J. Biabiany 🔁
↦ M. Icardi
71′
Yuto Nagatomo 🟥
72′
73′
A. Belotti 1–2
80′
🔁 A. Farnerud
↦ M. Benassi
82′
🟨 Bruno Peres
Eder 🔁
↦ D. Santon
85′
88′
🟨 Cristian Molinaro
90′
🟨 Andrea Belotti
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Inter

1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
55 Y. Nagatomo D
21 D. Santon D
5 Juan Jesus D
44 I. Perišić M
17 G. Medel M
77 M. Brozović M
8 R. Palacio F
22 A. Ljajić M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (11)
24 J. Murillo
11 J. Biabiany
23 Eder
7 G. Kondogbia
10 S. Jovetić
12 Alex Telles
27 A. Gnoukouri
30 J. Carrizo
33 D. D'Ambrosio
46 T. Berni
83 Felipe Melo

Torino

1 D. Padelli G
24 E. Moretti D
5 C. Bovo D
3 C. Molinaro D
18 P. Jansson D
33 Bruno Peres D
20 G. Vives M
4 J. Obi M
15 M. Benassi M
11 M. López F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (9)
16 D. Baselli
14 A. Gazzi
8 A. Farnerud
7 D. Zappacosta
13 L. Castellazzi
17 J. Martínez
19 N. Maksimović
21 G. Silva
28 S. Ichazo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.