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Eliteserien

Sarpsborg 08

U U T T U

3–1

Full-time

Aalesund

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 28%

20%

35%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

45%

65%

Both score Ø 63%

55%

70%

Average goals

2,6

3,4

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,5

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 12. · Aalesund 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	20	15	3	2	+37	48
2	Stabaek	21	13	5	3	+16	44
3	Viking	21	12	1	8	+13	37
4	Valerenga	21	11	3	7	+8	36
5	Odd	21	9	8	4	+10	35
6	Molde	20	8	6	6	+17	30
7	Stromsgodset	19	9	3	7	+5	30
8	Lillestrom	21	7	7	7	-4	28
9	Bodo/Glimt	20	8	2	10	-5	26
10	Aalesund	20	7	4	9	-14	25
11	Haugesund	20	6	6	8	-9	24
12	Sarpsborg 08	20	4	8	8	-7	20
13	Start	20	5	4	11	-13	19
14	Mjondalen	20	4	7	9	-16	19
15	Tromso	21	4	5	12	-13	17
16	Sandefjord	21	3	4	14	-25	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	7	3	0	+19	24
2	Stabaek	10	7	2	1	+10	23
3	Viking	10	6	1	3	+5	19
4	Valerenga	11	6	0	5	+5	18
5	Aalesund	10	5	3	2	+2	18
6	Lillestrom	11	5	3	3	-1	18
7	Stromsgodset	8	5	2	1	+7	17
8	Odd	11	4	5	2	+4	17
9	Molde	10	4	3	3	+12	15
10	Bodo/Glimt	10	5	0	5	+1	15
11	Mjondalen	11	4	3	4	-6	15
12	Start	10	4	1	5	-2	13
13	Haugesund	10	3	4	3	-3	13
14	Tromso	10	3	3	4	-5	12
15	Sandefjord	11	3	2	6	-6	11
16	Sarpsborg 08	10	2	3	5	-5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	10	8	0	2	+18	24
2	Stabaek	11	6	3	2	+6	21
3	Viking	11	6	0	5	+8	18
4	Odd	10	5	3	2	+6	18
5	Valerenga	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Molde	10	4	3	3	+5	15
7	Stromsgodset	11	4	1	6	-2	13
8	Sarpsborg 08	10	2	5	3	-2	11
9	Bodo/Glimt	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	Haugesund	10	3	2	5	-6	11
11	Lillestrom	10	2	4	4	-3	10
12	Aalesund	10	2	1	7	-16	7
13	Start	10	1	3	6	-11	6
14	Tromso	11	1	2	8	-8	5
15	Mjondalen	9	0	4	5	-10	4
16	Sandefjord	10	0	2	8	-19	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.