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Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08
S U U T T
1–0
Full-time
Tromso
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 21%
22%
19%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
52%
44%
Both score Ø 63%
67%
59%
Average goals
2,9
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 12. · Tromso 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 27 19 5 3 +44 62
2 Stabaek 27 16 5 6 +16 53
3 Stromsgodset 27 16 4 7 +22 52
4 Odd 27 13 9 5 +14 48
5 Viking 27 15 2 10 +14 47
6 Valerenga 27 13 5 9 +7 44
7 Molde 27 12 7 8 +24 43
8 Lillestrom 27 10 9 8 +2 39
9 Bodo/Glimt 27 11 4 12 -3 37
10 Aalesund 27 10 5 12 -14 35
11 Haugesund 27 8 7 12 -16 31
12 Sarpsborg 08 27 6 10 11 -12 28
13 Tromso 27 5 8 14 -16 23
14 Start 28 5 7 16 -25 22
15 Mjondalen 28 4 9 15 -28 21
16 Sandefjord 27 4 4 19 -29 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Apr -15 Tromso – Sarpsborg 08 0–1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.