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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Stromsgodset
S T S S T
4–2
Full-time
Aalesund
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,3
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
54%
23%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 6. · Aalesund 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 14 10 3 1 +18 33
2 Odd 14 9 3 2 +9 30
3 Viking 14 8 2 4 +3 26
4 Haugesund 14 7 3 4 +6 24
5 Molde 14 7 3 4 +4 24
6 Stromsgodset 13 7 2 4 +7 23
7 Brann 14 7 2 5 +0 23
8 Sarpsborg 08 14 6 4 4 +0 22
9 Sogndal 14 4 6 4 +0 18
10 Lillestrom 14 4 5 5 +1 17
11 Tromso 14 4 4 6 -7 16
12 Aalesund 13 3 3 7 -3 12
13 Bodo/Glimt 14 3 3 8 -6 12
14 Valerenga 14 3 2 9 -6 11
15 Stabaek 14 3 1 10 -8 10
16 Start 14 0 6 8 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Aalesund
5′
⚽ M. Abdellaoue 0–1
P. Larsen
1–1 M. Keita ⚽
P. Moen
17′
1–2 M. Kirkeskov ⚽
own goal
26′
34′
⚽ P. Larsen 1–3
A. Þrándarson
Half-time 2–3
2–3 L. Vilsvik ⚽
P. Moen
74′
77′
🔁 S. Fet
↦ M. Abdellaoue
80′
🟨 Bjorn Helge Riise
T. Sørum 🔁
↦ M. Keita
84′
85′
🔁 D. Grétarsson
↦ A. Arnarson
86′
🔁 F. Carlsen
↦ V. Hoff
Flamur Kastrati 🟨
90′
F. Kastrati 🔁
↦ Ø. Storflor
90′
3–3 F. Kastrati ⚽
Marcus Pedersen
97′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

1 E. Pettersen G
4 K. Madsen D
3 J. Parr D
71 G. Valsvik D
26 L. Vilsvik D
8 P. Moen
9 Ø. Storflor F
77 M. Keita M
11 M. Rønning M
22 B. Adjei-Boateng M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
23 T. Sørum
15 F. Kastrati
54 K. Ahlander
2 M. Hamoud
46 S. Johansen
17 C. Lindquist
30 Ł. Jarosiński

Aalesund

1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
23 E. Skagestad
2 M. Kirkeskov D
22 A. Arnarson D
21 B. Riise M
10 P. Larsen M
11 A. Þrándarson M
18 V. Hoff M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
7 F. Boli F
Bench (6)
40 S. Fet
3 D. Grétarsson
8 F. Carlsen
20 T. Martinussen
24 L. Cramer
15 Marlinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.