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Champions League
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Plzen
S S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Qarabag
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plzen Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 65%
80%
50%
Points per game
2,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
80%
67%
Both score Ø 72%
60%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
0,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+1,2
This season — Champions League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 62%
80%
43%
Points per game
2,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
80%
57%
Both score Ø 66%
60%
71%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
5 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 4
5 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 3
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Aug -22 Qarabag – Plzen 0–0

Match report

Plzen Qarabag
Mohamed Tijani 🟨
-5′
-5′
🟨 Luka Gugeshashvili
Luděk Pernica 🟨
38′
38′
⚽ F. Ozobić 0–1
Jan Sýkora 🟨
40′
Václav Jemelka 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
J. Kliment 🔁
↦ J. Sýkora
46′
54′
🔁 M. Janković
↦ R. Almeyda
1–1 J. Kopic ⚽
58′
70′
🔁 R. Şeydayev
↦ F. Ozobić
2–1 J. Kliment ⚽
J. Mosquera
73′
E. Jirka 🔁
↦ J. Kliment
74′
81′
🔁 O. Kwabena
↦ I. Wadji
R. Dedič 🔁
↦ T. Chorý
86′
Jan Kopic 🟨
94′
F. Čihák 🔁
↦ J. Kopic
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Plzen

4-2-3-1
36 J. Staněk G
44 L. Holík D
4 L. Pernica D
21 V. Jemelka D
24 M. Havel D
23 L. Kalvach M
20 P. Bucha M
10 J. Kopic M
7 J. Sýkora M
18 J. Mosquera M
15 T. Chorý F
Bench (11)
9 J. Kliment
77 E. Jirka
33 R. Dedič
26 F. Čihák
3 M. Tijani
25 A. Čermák
16 M. Jedlička
6 V. Pilař
13 M. Tvrdoň
22 Cadu
99 M. N'Diaye

Coach: M. Bílek

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
55 B. Hüseynov D
27 T. Bayramov D
2 Q. Qarayev M
7 R. Almeyda M
20 Kady M
19 F. Ozobić M
10 A. Zoubir M
25 I. Wadji F
Bench (12)
8 M. Janković
77 R. Şeydayev
11 O. Kwabena
6 Júlio Romão
89 A. Ramazanov
15 Leandro Andrade
18 İ. İbrahimli
4 R. Məmmədov
23 L. Gugeshashvili
44 E. Cəfərquliyev
30 A. Hüseynov
22 M. Qurbanlı

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.