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League Cup
Referee: B Toner
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Rochdale
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,0
This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 13. · Rochdale 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Charlton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Exeter City 1 1 0 0 +7 3
3 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Grimsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Preston 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Portsmouth 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Lincoln 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Gillingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Rochdale 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Forest Green 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Peterborough 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Shrewsbury 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Newport County 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Wycombe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Walsall 2 1 0 1 +1 3
19 Bradford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Rotherham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Cambridge United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Colchester 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Milton Keynes Dons 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Crawley Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Norwich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Oxford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Swansea 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Blackpool 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Barrow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Morecambe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Stoke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Luton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Mansfield Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Ipswich 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Wigan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Sutton Utd 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Doncaster 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Salford City 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Crewe 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Hartlepool 1 0 0 1 -4 0
70 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Rochdale
1–0 J. Brown
F. Dele-Bashiru
23′
2–0 F. Dele-Bashiru
J. Brown
36′
3–0 D. Adeniran
F. Dele-Bashiru
44′
Half-time 3–0
R. Galvin 🔁
↦ M. McGuinness
46′
M. Ihiekwe 🔁
↦ B. Heneghan
52′
Jay Glover 🟨
58′
66′
🟨 Femi Seriki
A. Hunt 🔁
↦ J. Glover
69′
G. Byers 🔁
↦ F. Dele-Bashiru
69′
70′
🔁 E. Brierley
↦ L. Kelly
70′
🔁 R. Tulloch
↦ I. Henderson
80′
🟨 Devante Rodney
81′
🔁 A. Odoh
↦ F. Seriki
81′
🔁 C. Malley
↦ J. Ball
81′
🔁 T. Sinclair
↦ D. Rodney
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

3-5-2
25 C. Dawson G
6 D. Iorfa D
5 B. Heneghan D
34 M. McGuinness D
23 J. Glover M
8 D. Adeniran M
4 W. Vaulks M
17 F. Dele-Bashiru M
3 J. Brown M
13 C. Paterson F
40 S. Sow F
Bench (9)
27 R. Galvin
20 M. Ihiekwe
29 A. Hunt
14 G. Byers
9 L. Gregory
31 D. Stockdale
18 M. Johnson
10 B. Bannan
19 T. Bakinson

Coach: D. Moore

Rochdale

5-3-2
22 C. Slicker G
2 F. Seriki D
15 S. Graham D
6 E. Ebanks-Landell D
24 C. John D
3 A. White D
7 L. Kelly M
20 T. Diagouraga M
8 J. Ball M
40 I. Henderson F
10 D. Rodney F
Bench (9)
14 E. Brierley
21 R. Tulloch
11 A. Odoh
27 C. Malley
17 T. Sinclair
29 J. Scanlon
5 M. Taylor
1 R. O'Donnell
16 B. Nelson

Coach: J. McNulty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Toner · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.