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League Cup

Referee: C Pollard

Stevenage

1–0

Full-time

Peterborough

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stevenage Peterborough

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

18 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stevenage 19. · Peterborough 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Charlton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Exeter City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
4	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Grimsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Preston	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Forest Green	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Newport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Walsall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Colchester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Stockport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Barnsley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Shrewsbury	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Rochdale	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Oxford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Barrow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Sutton Utd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-4	0
70	Hartlepool	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Grimsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Rochdale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Forest Green	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Walsall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	West Brom	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Shrewsbury	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Oxford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Charlton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Exeter City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Preston	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Peterborough	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Newport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Colchester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Stockport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Barnsley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Barrow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Sutton Utd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Rochdale	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Hartlepool	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stevenage Peterborough

2′

🟨 Jack Taylor

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 J. Fuchs

↦ J. Taylor

55′

🔁 J. Clarke-Harris

↦ J. Taylor

56′

🔁 J. Marriott

↦ R. Jones

56′

🔁 B. Thompson

↦ K. Poku

64′

🟨 Josh Knight

J. Roberts 🔁

↦ D. Amoo

67′

68′

🔁 J. Ward

↦ J. Tomlinson

Jake Taylor 🟨

70′

A. Read 🔁

↦ D. Campbell

71′

T. Vancooten 🔁

↦ M. Bostwick

84′

1–0 J. Reid ⚽

L. James-Wildin

93′

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Stevenage

5-3-2

1 A. Chapman G

2 L. James-Wildin D

6 D. Sweeney D

18 M. Bostwick D

5 C. Piergianni D

20 S. Earley D

10 D. Campbell M

8 J. Taylor M

4 J. Reeves M

19 J. Reid F

24 D. Amoo F

Bench (7)

11 J. Roberts

16 A. Read

15 T. Vancooten

9 L. Norris

3 M. Clark

12 T. Ashby-Hammond

14 K. Smith

Coach: S. Evans

Peterborough

3-5-2

28 W. Blackmore G

J. Knight D

36 C. O'Connell D

6 F. Kent D

19 D. Ajiboye M

K. Poku M

8 J. Taylor M

H. Kyprianou M

21 J. Tomlinson M

R. Jones F

27 J. Taylor F

Bench (9)

7 J. Fuchs

9 J. Clarke-Harris

14 J. Marriott

24 B. Thompson

23 J. Ward

40 W. Lakin

16 H. Burrows

4 R. Edwards

12 N. Thompson

Coach: G. McCann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

9. Aug LC 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Stevenage

Peterborough

Odds comparison

Recent matches