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League Cup
Referee: C Brook
0–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gillingham Exeter City
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
7,0
Scored
2,0
7,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+7,0
This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
7,0
Scored
2,0
7,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+7,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gillingham 11. · Exeter City 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield Weds 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Charlton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Exeter City 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 Bolton 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Grimsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Preston 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Portsmouth 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Lincoln 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Gillingham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Forest Green 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Peterborough 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Newport County 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Wycombe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Walsall 2 1 0 1 +1 3
17 Bradford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Rotherham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Cambridge United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Colchester 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Milton Keynes Dons 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Crawley Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Barnsley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Burnley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Shrewsbury 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Rochdale 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Norwich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Oxford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Swansea 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Blackpool 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Barrow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Morecambe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Stoke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Luton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Mansfield Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Ipswich 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Wigan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Sutton Utd 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Doncaster 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Salford City 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Crewe 1 0 0 1 -4 0
70 Hartlepool 1 0 0 1 -4 0
71 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gillingham Exeter City
Max Ehmer 🟨
13′
20′
🟨 Pierce Sweeney
Half-time 0–0
B. Reeves 🔁
↦ S. OKeefe
46′
60′
🔁 A. Collins
↦ H. Kite
64′
🔁 C. Diabate
↦ P. Sweeney
72′
🔁 A. Hartridge
↦ J. Grounds
72′
🔁 K. Chauke
↦ T. Dieng
73′
🔁 S. Cox
↦ M. Jay
M. Mandron 🔁
↦ A. MacDonald
80′
81′
🟨 Sam Stubbs
J. Green 🔁
↦ L. Walker
82′
H. Adelakun 🔁
↦ S. Kashket
89′
121′
J. Brown 0–1
1–1 O. Lee
122′
123′
S. Cox 1–2
2–2 M. Mandron
124′
125′
J. Caprice 2–3
3–3 W. Wright
126′
4–3 B. Reeves
127′
128′
A. Collins 4–4
129′
J. Coley 4–5
5–5 H. Adelakun
130′
131′
J. Key
penalty missed
6–5 D. Tutonda
132′
Full-time 6–5

Line-ups

Gillingham

3-4-3
25 J. Turner G
4 W. Wright D
5 M. Ehmer D
23 E. Baggott D
2 C. Alexander M
10 O. Lee M
8 S. O'Keefe M
3 D. Tutonda M
7 A. MacDonald F
19 L. Walker F
24 S. Kashket F
Bench (7)
11 B. Reeves
9 M. Mandron
22 J. Green
21 H. Adelakun
17 R. Law
1 G. Morris
31 F. Carter

Coach: N. Harris

Exeter City

3-4-1-2
40 S. Brown G
26 P. Sweeney D
4 S. Stubbs D
27 J. Grounds D
12 J. Key M
14 T. Dieng M
16 H. Kite M
2 J. Caprice M
7 M. Jay F
20 J. Brown F
21 J. Coley F
Bench (9)
8 A. Collins
39 C. Diabate
5 A. Hartridge
15 K. Chauke
19 S. Cox
18 J. Blackman
3 J. Sparkes
10 S. Nombe
41 P. Borges

Coach: M. Taylor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Brook · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.