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Champions League
Referee: S Jovanović
Salzburg
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Milan
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
16 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Salzburg Milan
Nicolás Capaldo 🟨
17′
1–0 N. Okafor ⚽
Fernando
28′
38′
🟨 Fikayo Tomori
40′
⚽ A. Saelemaekers 1–1
Rafael Leão
Bernardo 🔁
↦ O. Solet
42′
44′
🟨 Davide Calabria
Half-time 1–1
57′
🔁 T. Pobega
↦ I. Bennacer
57′
🔁 D. Origi
↦ O. Giroud
57′
🔁 S. Dest
↦ D. Calabria
L. Gourna-Douath 🔁
↦ D. Kameri
65′
B. Šeško 🔁
↦ Fernando
65′
Lucas Gourna-Douath 🟨
68′
70′
🔁 Brahim Díaz
↦ C. De Ketelaere
80′
🔁 Junior Messias
↦ A. Saelemaekers
89′
🟨 Brahim Díaz
92′
🟨 Divock Origi
J. Adamu 🔁
↦ N. Oka
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
18 P. Köhn G
70 A. Dedić D
22 O. Solet D
31 S. Pavlović D
17 A. Ulmer D
7 N. Capaldo M
13 N. Seiwald M
14 M. Kjærgaard M
8 D. Kameri M
11 Fernando F
77 N. Okafor F
Bench (10)
95 Bernardo
27 L. Gourna-Douath
30 B. Šeško
9 J. Adamu
24 Y. Diarra
33 A. Walke
1 N. Mantl
2 I. Van der Brempt
23 R. Šimić
6 S. Baidoo

Coach: M. Jaissle

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
2 D. Calabria D
20 P. Kalulu D
23 F. Tomori D
19 T. Hernández D
4 I. Bennacer M
8 S. Tonali M
56 A. Saelemaekers M
90 C. De Ketelaere M
17 Rafael Leão M
9 O. Giroud F
Bench (10)
32 T. Pobega
27 D. Origi
21 S. Dest
10 Brahim Díaz
30 Junior Messias
96 A. Jungdal
83 A. Mirante
24 S. Kjær
5 F. Ballo
46 M. Gabbia

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jovanović · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.