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Serie A
Referee: L Marinelli
Milan
S S S S S
4–2
Full-time
Udinese
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

59% Possession 41%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Feb -22 Milan – Udinese 1–1 11. Dec -21 Udinese – Milan 1–1 3. Mar -21 Milan – Udinese 1–1 1. Nov -20 Udinese – Milan 1–2 19. Jan -20 Milan – Udinese 3–2

Match report

Milan Udinese
2′
⚽ Rodrigo Becão 0–1
Deulofeu
Davide Calabria ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
9′
9′
🟨 Brandon Soppy
1–1 T. Hernández ⚽
11′
2–1 A. Rebić ⚽
D. Calabria
15′
Rade Krunić 🟨
34′
34′
🟨 Rodrigo Becão
Half-time 3–1
3–1 Brahim Díaz ⚽
46′
49′
⚽ A. Masina 3–2
R. Pereyra
55′
🟨 Nehuén Pérez
67′
🔁 E. Ebosse
↦ N. Pérez
67′
🔁 Beto
↦ I. Success
4–2 A. Rebić ⚽
Brahim Díaz
68′
A. Saelemaekers 🔁
↦ Junior Messias
71′
C. De Ketelaere 🔁
↦ Brahim Díaz
71′
O. Giroud 🔁
↦ A. Rebić
72′
76′
🔁 S. Lovrić
↦ Walace
76′
🔁 L. Samardžić
↦ J. Makengo
83′
🔁 F. Ebosele
↦ A. Masina
T. Pobega 🔁
↦ R. Krunić
84′
D. Origi 🔁
↦ Rafael Leão
84′
92′
🟨 Festy Ebosele
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
2 D. Calabria D
20 P. Kalulu D
23 F. Tomori D
19 T. Hernández D
4 I. Bennacer M
33 R. Krunić M
30 Junior Messias M
10 Brahim Díaz M
17 Rafael Leão M
12 A. Rebić F
Bench (13)
56 A. Saelemaekers
90 C. De Ketelaere
9 O. Giroud
32 T. Pobega
27 D. Origi
1 C. Tătărușanu
7 Y. Adli
5 F. Ballo
24 S. Kjær
83 A. Mirante
14 T. Bakayoko
46 M. Gabbia
25 A. Florenzi

Coach: S. Pioli

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
50 Rodrigo Becão D
17 B. Nuytinck D
18 N. Pérez D
93 B. Soppy M
37 R. Pereyra M
11 Walace M
6 J. Makengo M
3 A. Masina M
7 I. Success F
10 Deulofeu F
Bench (14)
23 E. Ebosse
9 Beto
4 S. Lovrić
24 L. Samardžić
2 F. Ebosele
99 E. Piana
30 I. Nestorovski
67 A. Guessand
14 J. Abankwah
20 D. Padelli
80 S. Pafundi
28 F. Benković
29 J. Bijol
21 M. Palumbo

Coach: A. Sottil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,41
🔒
U
4,75
🔒
B
8,14
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,73
🔒
U2,5
2,14
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Marinelli · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.