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Champions League
Referee: D Massa
Sevilla
S T U T T
0–4
Full-time
Man City
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
4,3
Scored
0,8
3,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
6 Shots 24
1 Shots on target 10
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sevilla Man City
20′
⚽ E. Haaland 0–1
K. De Bruyne
Half-time 0–1
Joan Jordán 🔁
↦ T. Delaney
46′
Rafa Mir 🔁
↦ I. Rakitić
46′
K. Dolberg 🔁
↦ Alex Telles
57′
58′
⚽ P. Foden 0–2
João Cancelo
62′
🔁 İ. Gündoğan
↦ J. Grealish
67′
⚽ E. Haaland 0–3
70′
🔁 J. Álvarez
↦ E. Haaland
70′
🔁 C. Palmer
↦ P. Foden
Suso 🔁
↦ P. Gómez
73′
A. Januzaj 🔁
↦ Isco
78′
78′
🔁 R. Mahrez
↦ K. De Bruyne
78′
🔁 K. Phillips
↦ Rodri
Rafa Mir 🟨
89′
92′
⚽ Rúben Dias 0–4
João Cancelo
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
13 Y. Bounou G
16 Jesús Navas D
30 José Ángel Carmona D
14 T. Nianzou D
19 M. Acuña D
6 N. Gudelj M
18 T. Delaney M
24 P. Gómez M
10 I. Rakitić M
3 Alex Telles M
22 Isco F
Bench (12)
8 Joan Jordán
12 Rafa Mir
5 K. Dolberg
7 Suso
11 A. Januzaj
4 K. Rekik
15 Y. En-Nesyri
1 M. Dmitrović
2 G. Montiel
20 Fernando
31 Alberto Flores
29 Kike Salas

Coach: Lopetegui

Man City

4-3-3
31 Ederson G
7 João Cancelo D
25 M. Akanji D
3 Rúben Dias D
21 Sergio Gómez D
17 K. De Bruyne M
16 Rodri M
20 Bernardo Silva M
47 P. Foden F
9 E. Haaland F
10 J. Grealish F
Bench (10)
8 İ. Gündoğan
19 J. Álvarez
80 C. Palmer
26 R. Mahrez
4 K. Phillips
82 R. Lewis
18 S. Ortega
97 J. Wilson-Esbrand
6 N. Aké
33 S. Carson

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.