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Champions League
Referee: T Stieler
Ajax
S S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Rangers
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
3,0
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

75% Possession 25%
17 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
4 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 4
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ajax Rangers
1–0 E. Álvarez
S. Berghuis
17′
2–0 S. Berghuis
M. Kudus
32′
3–0 M. Kudus
C. Bassey
33′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 L. King
↦ J. Tavernier
46′
🔁 R. Jack
↦ M. Tillman
46′
🔁 R. Matondo
↦ S. Wright
62′
🟨 Ryan Jack
71′
ℹ️ Borna Barišić
VAR: Goal cancelled
78′
🔁 S. Davis
↦ G. Kamara
4–0 S. Bergwijn
80′
L. Ocampos 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
82′
D. Klaassen 🔁
↦ S. Berghuis
82′
Y. Baas 🔁
↦ D. Blind
82′
J. Sánchez 🔁
↦ E. Álvarez
88′
B. Brobbey 🔁
↦ M. Kudus
89′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
15 D. Rensch D
2 J. Timber D
3 C. Bassey D
17 D. Blind D
23 S. Berghuis M
4 E. Álvarez M
8 K. Taylor M
10 D. Tadić F
20 M. Kudus F
7 S. Bergwijn F
Bench (12)
11 L. Ocampos
6 D. Klaassen
25 Y. Baas
19 J. Sánchez
9 B. Brobbey
1 M. Stekelenburg
18 L. Lucca
16 J. Gorter
13 A. Kaplan
21 F. Grillitsch
35 Francisco Conceição
29 L. Magallán

Coach: A. Schreuder

Rangers

4-2-3-1
33 J. McLaughlin G
2 J. Tavernier D
6 C. Goldson D
19 J. Sands D
31 B. Barišić D
18 G. Kamara M
4 J. Lundstram M
23 S. Wright M
71 M. Tillman M
14 R. Kent M
9 A. Čolak F
Bench (12)
38 L. King
8 R. Jack
17 R. Matondo
10 S. Davis
1 A. McGregor
28 R. McCrorie
20 A. Morelos
37 S. Arfield
26 B. Davies
30 F. Sakala
44 A. Devine
3 R. Yılmaz

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.