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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Utrecht

S T U U T

0–2

Full-time

Ajax

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

4,3

Scored

1,2

3,2

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+2,0

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,3

Scored

1,3

3,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

44% Possession 56%

5 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

9 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 14. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Heerenveen	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Twente	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Groningen	4	1	2	1	-4	5
9	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Cambuur	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	FC Emmen	4	1	1	2	-6	4
13	Waalwijk	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Utrecht	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Volendam	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Vitesse	4	0	1	3	-9	1
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	0	4	-7	0
18	For Sittard	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	FC Emmen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Twente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-7	1
14	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Cambuur	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Excelsior	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Twente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Waalwijk	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-5	1
15	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	For Sittard	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.